Originally written January 06, 2013 on Baseball Professor:
Despite finishing last year with an ERA 66 points higher than 2011, I’d argue that Ryan Vogelsong had a better year in 2012 than in his surprising return to Major League Baseball the year before. His strikeout rate went up, his walk rate went down, he induced more infield flies, he allowed fewer line drives, and he did all of that while tossing 10 more innings for the World Champion Giants. Best of all for Vogelsong, he gets to play in AT&T Park where fly balls magically find outfielders’ gloves more than just about any other park. Statcorner.com rates AT&T as a 66 for right-handed batters and a 69 for lefties in terms of homers, so it shouldn’t be surprising that Vogelsong’s back-to-back seasons with an 8.2% HR/FB rate is 27.4% less than the league average (11.3% in 2012). Fun statistical side note: a park factor of 69 means that park was 31% less homer-friendly than a league average park (100 – 69 = 31), and Vogelsong had a HR/FB rate that was 27.4% lower…see where I’m goi...
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