Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 2/12/12
Davidwrighthelmet

Forgive the overused cliche, but there are three certainties in life: death, taxes and Matt Cain outperforming his peripherals. It’s gotten to the point where anyone who doubts Cain just looks foolish. He’s finished five straight seasons with ERAs noticeably lower than his FIPs, and in each of those five seasons he’s pitched at least 200 innings. His walk rate has settled around 2.5 BB/9, and his strikeout rate is comfortably in the low 7.0s. Cain might be the most consistent pitcher in the league.

Best case scenario: Dan Haren (LAA)
Similar players: Jered Weaver (LAA), Ian Kennedy (ARI), Jordan Zimmermann (WAS)
Worst case scenario: Chris Carpenter (STL)

Strengths

Durability, IFFB%, consistency. Cain is a 220-inning monster, and his infield fly rate (IFFB%) is always among the league’s best. In fact, since Cain became a full-time starter in 2006, his IFFB% is the fifth highest of the 110 pitchers who’ve thrown at least 600 innings (100 per season). One look at the stats above will show you how consistent he is.

Weaknesses

W. I’m not sure Cain will win many games in San Francisco, though right now I have the Giants as my projected NL West champions.

ADP Report (61.2)

Our rank (51) is rather aggressive in hindsight, but that’s why we’re updating the rankings in our first annual draft guide (available in the coming weeks). I don’t think I’d like to have Cain as my fantasy team’s ace, but he’s a fantastic number two fantasy starter and he’s as reliable as they come. Cain has always outpitched his FIPs, mostly because of his unusual ability to generate a lot of infield flies, and seeing how his FIPs have dropped each season, there’s no reason to think he can’t continue to have an ERA under 3.00. With his 220-inning durability, Cain is a safe pick in the fifth or sixth round.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Report: Three NBA teams achieve separation in LaMarcus Aldridge chase

WATCH: Serena Williams wags finger at Wimbledon crowd, says, 'Don’t try me'

Report: Rajon Rondo headed to Sacramento Kings

Dez Bryant deal with Cowboys could be announced Monday

Brandon Saad, Ryan O’Reilly sign long-term contracts with Columbus, Buffalo

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Dallas Mavericks solidify future with Wesley Matthews and DeAndre Jordan signings

A-Rod, Yankees settle dispute over home run milestone bonus

Report: Robin Lopez, Knicks finalizing four-year deal

Becky Hammon will coach Spurs' Summer League team

Jimmy Butler on Derrick Rose: ‘I don’t think we have any issues’

Yankees get A-Rod's 3,000th hit ball for $150,000 donation

The top American sports moments since the last Fourth of July

Nine former college football rivalries that need to come back

The most patriotic uniforms in American sports

Jeanie Buss: Brother Jim will step down if Lakers don't make deep run within two seasons

DeAndre Jordan to Dallas: The Los Angeles Clippers are literally mad men

Remember when the Cincinnati Bearcats were the scariest team in America?

Are the Angels now the worst organization in baseball?

Five reasons the Browns should play Johnny Manziel

Blue Jays need rookies to keep producing for success in 2015

WATCH: Sean Doolittle gets cup check from teammate

University of Florida developing high-tech smart mouth guard

Pat McAfee is the best punter in NFL history

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Russell Wilson 'would definitely consider' playing for Mariners

Solo, Rapinoe among USWNT stars up for World Cup awards

LBS on Sports Jeopardy! Here's how how it went

College football's 35 most patriotic helmets

A brief history of non-star All-Stars

With Love retained, the Cavs can take care of LeBron

Grading the deal: Davis commits to Pelicans

Obama Administration: Change name if Redskins move to D.C.

Deciding what the All-Star Game means

Odell Beckham Jr. offered professional baseball contract

Orioles keep finding a way to win

Lloyd sends USWNT to World Cup final

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.