For Drew Stubbs, it’s all about the strikeouts. If he didn’t whiff so much (11.5 SwStr% in 2011) and strikeout so much (30.1 K%) he could hit for a much better batting average and, in effect, significantly improve his fantasy value. It’s rare to see someone with a career .335 BABIP have such a low career batting average (.251), but that’s what Stubbs has been. A big issue with his strikeouts is that it cost him his leadoff spot in the Reds’ lineup where he’s been a perennial threat for 100 runs. If he doesn’t get that job back this ranking will seem far too high, but if he’s leading off he’s on the cusp of becoming an elite fantasy contributor because he’s already a great contributor in home runs and steasl (20/40 potential) — if he can cut down on those strikeouts of course.
Best case scenario: Andrew McCutchen (PIT)Similar players: B.J. Upton (TB), Shane Victorino (PHI), Desmond Jennings (TB)Worst case scenario: Loses leadoff spot and fails to reach 90 runs