Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 2/11/12

He won’t be your prototypical, power-hitting first baseman, but Eric Hosmer looks poised to be a top player at the position for years to come. He will be hitting in the middle of a Kansas City lineup that scored the 10th most runs in 2011 so his runs and RBI totals should be just fine. The question is whether Hosmer can improve on his home run totals, which will be tough playing in Kauffman Stadium. Hosmer hit just three of his 19 home runs at home last season and that could be an issue for his power potential going forward.

Best case scenario: Joey Votto (CIN) with smaller power numbers
Similar players: Billy Butler (KC), Freddie Freeman (ATL) with more power, Hunter Pence (PHI)
Worst case scenario: Gaby Sanchez (MIA)


Batting average, steals. While Hosmer’s xBA was only .275 last year it had a lot to do with his aggressive nature at the plate (36.7 O-Swing%). As he gets older, he will learn to be more selective and if he cuts down on unnecessary swings he should make better contact and keep his batting average north of .290.


OBP, home stadium. If Hosmer wants to be considered among the elite first basemen he will have to up his .334 OBP from 2011. Like I stated above, I expect Hosmer to only get better in terms of selection at the plate and with that comes more walks and better contact overall.

ADP Report (52.4)

He’s only 22 years old, so for him to be getting drafted this highly already tells you a lot about his potential. I would love to see what Hosmer could do in a homer-neutral park, but a .300 hitter with 80 runs, 23 home runs, 90 RBI and 10 steals is good enough to be worth a sixth round pick and more in keeper leagues.

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