Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 2/26/13
Depending on who you ask, Corey Hart will miss somewhere between one and two months this year after undergoing surgery on January 25 to repair a torn meniscus in his knee. Hart maintains he’ll be back by April 20. Manager Ron Roenicke insists the original late-May target is a more appropriate timetable.When we originally created these 2013 projections back in November/December, we projected a nearly full season from Hart. We’ve adjusted that line below to a 119-game projection, the number we feel Hart will probably play this season. You’ll notice that the PSR and PSR Rank columns have been dashed out — with the new projection our original 63rd-overall rank no longer applies. Recalculations will be made in our 2013 Draft Guide, which will be available on March 1!When Hart does return, he’ll probably bat fifth for the Brewers. Over the last two seasons he’s rebounded from a disastrous one-and-a-half year slide spanning from the second half of 2008 all the way through 2009, and now he’s has become a .280/30/100 threat if given around 145 games of playing time. But unlike many 30/100 sluggers, Hart has the ability to score 90+ runs with his deceptive speed.At a GlanceStrengths: HR, RBI, SLG, OPSNeutral: R, BA, SB, OBPWeaknesses: missing almost one-third of the seasonPlayer ComparisonsAll comparisons done on a per-game basisBest-case scenario: Jay Bruce (CIN)Likely scenario: Carlos Beltran (STL), Adam LaRoche (WAS), Paul Konerko (CHW)Worst-case scenario: Jason Kubel (ARI)Corey Hart 2013 Fantasy ProjectionWith discrepancies over exactly when Hart will return, he’s tough to draft in roto leagues or leagues, especially those with shallow benches or just one DH slot. It’s important in those formats to put your best lineup out there from day one, and carrying Hart for one or two months with zero return on investment could be hard to overcome.In H2H leagues Hart is a great player to target. By ranking him here we’ve established that he’s a top-75 player overall — he ranked 34th, 75th, and 79th in the last three seasons — but right now his ADP in Yahoo! leagues is 216.0. That’s probably a bit suppressed because of roto draft results, but regardless I guarantee no one is taking Hart inside the top 175 or top 150. Imagine adding a player of Hart’s caliber in the middle of the season and riding that borderline top-50 production through the last three months of the fantasy regular season plus the playoffs. That’s exactly the kind of player I’d target.As for what Hart will do when he’s back healthy, his numbers have been pretty constant over the last three seasons on a per-game basis, so our reduced 2013 fantasy projection should be spot on.
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