Originally written on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 10/24/14
An undeserved .232 batting average and just 58 RBI in Jayson Werth‘s debut season as a National (2011) sank him to the 217th overall ranking in fantasy. In injury-riddled, yet surprisingly productive, 2012 campaign saw him rank just 325th overall. This year Yahoo! has Werth ranked just 215th in its preseason rankings.Have we all forgotten how great Werth was from 2008-2010?Last season’s 344-plate appearance sample is a little too small to be drawing sweeping generalizations from, but in his 81 healthy games last year Werth managed the lowest single-season strikeout rate of his career (16.6%, previous best was 22.5%) and an 18.9% line drive rate, his best since 2009.Now, causes for concern: Werth’s fly ball rate has been on a steady decline for the past few seasons as has his HR/FB rate, which has fallen every year since peaking at 21.1% in 2008. That could be disastrous for Werth’s home run potential this year, but he did manage to swat 27 and 20 homers in his last two healthy seaso...
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