If Jeremy Hellickson is the winner of the 2011 Pitch Who Best Outperformed Their Peripherals Award, then Ricky Romero is definitely the runner up. Last season, Romero’s 1.28-run gap between his ERA and FIP was the second largest in baseball (where the ERA was lower) behind only Hellickson. Romero ranked 60th on the season and we’re ranking him at 75, so clearly we think he’s due for some regression, but not as much as you might think. There are three things that I really like about Romero’s potential to be a very good fantasy starter in 2012, but that’s what our Strengths section is for below.
Best case scenario: David Price (TB)
Similar players: C.J. Wilson (LAA), Ervin Santana (LAA), Josh Beckett (BOS)
Worst case scenario: Wandy Rodriguez (HOU)
Strengths
Durability, decreasing walk rates, ground ball rate, W. Romero’s 2012 ERA will almost certainly be in the 3.00s, but will it be closer to 3.00 or 4.00? That we don’t know yet, but we do...
Original Story:
