Originally posted on Baseball Professor  |  Last updated 3/29/13
Rockies-gonzalez-strikes
There must be something in the air in Colorado because their star players just can’t seem to every stay healthy. Carlos Gonzalez has struggled with this in his three-year career, especially in the last two years, averaging just 135 games.Fortunately, injuries are about all you have to worry about with CarGo because when he’s on the field he’s a force to be reckoned with. Despite missing a combined 79 games he has three straight 20/20 seasons and is consistently around or better than 90 R and 90 RBI. Combine all that with a solid .300 batting average and you shouldn’t be surprised that he has ranked in the top 25 for the last three years. He also has on his resume a top-overall finish back in his marvelous 2010 breakout season.Much like Troy Tulowitzki, CarGo benefits greatly from playing half his games in Coors Field. His career slash at home is  .338/.394/.609 with a .271 ISO compared to .258/.313/.422 with a .164 ISO. Those differences are drastic to say the least. Luckily, for those in keeper leagues, the 27-year-old is signed to play in Colorado through 2017. He will be reaping the benefits for the near future.At a GlanceStrengths: R, RBI, HR, SB, BA, SLG, OPSNeutral: OBP, BB%, K%Weaknesses: NonePlayer ComparisonsBest-case scenario: Matt Kemp (LAD)Likely scenario: Andrew McCutchen (PIT), Justin Upton (ATL), Jayson Heyward (ATL)Worst-case scenario: Alex Rios (CHW)Carlos Gonzalez 2013 Fantasy ProjectionA small area of concern for CarGo is his declining power as his ISO has slipped from .262 in 2010 to .207 last year. Some of that could be attributed to the fact that he has been battling injuries the last two season, but he also has stopped hitting fly balls; his fly ball rate has gone from 36.6% in 2010 to just 29.5% in 2012. In order to keep the homers up, he will have to learn to hit more balls in the air because if  you’re hitting the ball on the ground it isn’t going to matter how thin the air is.Still, he has shown that he’s worth the risk of injury because he can do more in 130 games than most can do in 162. If he can ever stay on the field for more than 150 games we could be looking at the top player in fantasy once again.
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