Originally written February 16, 2013 on Baseball Professor:
When the Red Sox signed Shane Victorino this offseason, a buddy of mine sent me a text reading, “Enjoy three years of frustration with that guy.”I’ve never watched Victorino play on a daily basis, but I think I have a good idea what my Phillies friend means. In two of the last three years, Victorino has failed to bat .260 or post an OBP of .330. While he doesn’t strike out much (career 11.6%), his high infield fly rate (career 15.1%) and low line drive rate (career 18.5% and declining) show that Victorino makes a lot of poor contact. Despite his speed, he hasn’t posted a BABIP over .300 since 2009.Boston is paying him to be their every day right fielder, and despite the declining skill set he’s always been able to play a lot of games. While the rate stats won’t be great (BA, OBP), he should be able to maintain above average production in the counting categories.At a GlanceStrengths: R, SBNeutral: HR, RBI, BA, OBP, SLG, OPSWeaknesses: nonePlayer ComparisonsBest-case scenario: Desmond...
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