Originally written February 10, 2013 on Baseball Professor:
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Pablo Sandoval has missed significant time in each of the last two seasons, and in the year before that he was underwhelming to say the least. His 2009 campaign, his first year as a full-time starter, was easily his best as Sandoval put up top-50 numbers, and now all fantasy owners really want is a modicum of stability. I’ve always thought of Sandoval as a switch-hitting version of Vladimir Guerrero. In his prime Guerrero had more speed and more power than Sandoval does, but they have very similar approaches at the plate. Since 2009, Sandoval has swung at 42.2% of pitches outside the strike zone. Data that’s available for Guerrero says he offered at 43.7% of pitches outside the zone. The league average nowadays is between 28-29%. Over that same span, Sandoval has made contact with 77.9% of these swings versus Guerrero’s rate of 72.4%. The league average is between 63-64%. In fact, since 2009 only A.J. Pierzynski and Sandoval have swung at 40%+ of the pitches they see outside the str...
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