A breakout 2011 season saw Asdrubal Cabrera assert himself as one of the best offensive weapons at shortstop. A disappointing 2012 season saw him fall back among the game’s other interchangeable options.
So, which Cabrera is the real Cabrera?
Well, after spending half of last season batting second for the Indians, Cabrera is slated to bat third. That means we’ll definitely see more than the 68 RBI that 2012 brought us, but honestly, that might be the only significant change from last year. Our xBA formula confirms what we’ve seen these last two years — Cabrera is indeed a .270s hitter — and I was actually happy to see his HR/FB rate fall to just 9.9% after powering his way to 13.3% in 2011. That 2011 rate was more than double his previous career high, so sticking at 9.9% the following year is a pretty nice follow up.
At a Glance
Neutral: R, HR, SB, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS
Best-case scenario: Ben Zobrist (TB)
Likely scenario: Brandon Phillips (CIN), Torii Hunter (DET), Martin Prado (ARI)
Worst-case scenario: Neil Walker (PIT)
Asdrubal Cabrera 2013 Fantasy Projection
Cabrera’s ADP right now 133.3, and we have him projected to finish the year at 98th overall. If you can get Cabrera almost three rounds after where we think he should be ranked, that’s a steal. Cabrera’s also shown us that he can do much better than our projection, though I still maintain his 25 homers in 2011 were very luck-fueled.
I love having Jason Kipnis and his potential .350+ OBP and 30+ steals batting in front of Cabrera. There are going to be a lot of times this year when Cabrera steps into the box only to find Kipnis staring back at him, so as much as I think the homers won’t come back, the RBI definitely could.