Found February 17, 2009 on Another Cubs Blog:
I?ve already posted the projected standings that RLYW has run for Marcels and THT. I?ve also posted the PECOTA projected standings for the NL Central somewhere in the comments. RLYW has now run another early projection using their own projections (CAIRO) so I thought I?d update the average projections for each team in the division. The table below has the projection systems that have been used to simulate the standings and each number under the system is the number of wins. THT Marcels PECOTA CAIRO W-Avg L-Avg Cubs 91.5 90.5 96 95.5 93.4 68.6 STL 84.8 83.2 80 86 83.5 78.5 MIL 83.4 74.6 83 82.5 80.9 81.1 CIN 79.2 80.6 79 76.9 78.9 83.1 HOU 83.3 79.2 67 72 75.4 86.6 PIT 69.3 70.4 65 72 69.2 92.8 The Cubs have a lot of room to work with here. They?re a significantly better team than any other in the division. If you clicked on the link to the projections on RLYW, you?ve seen the Cubs are projected to have the best record in all of baseball at 95.5 with the Yankees 2nd at 95.1. Only Toronto is projected to allow fewer runs than the Cubs. The Cubs are projected to score more runs than any other team using the CAIRO projection system. The Cubs won the division 82.5% of the simulations and reached the playoffs in 92% of them.
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