Originally written February 22, 2013 on The Fantasy Fix:
Trevor Cahill and Jon Lester are coming off opposite 2012 seasons. Cahill, who’ll be 25 when the 2013 season begins, had the best year of his four-year career so far in ’12, while Lester, 29, had the worst season of his career. Both players represent solid values so far in drafts as Lester’s average draft position at Mock Draft Central is currently 188th overall and 42nd among starters, while Cahill’s is 209th and 52nd, respectively. Lester was always one of the most overrated starters in fantasy baseball from 2008-2011. He was a lot more valuable to the Red Sox than he was to your team because you had to pay a high price to get him. Don’t get me wrong; Lester was a very good pitcher for those four years. But he has never had an ERA under 3.21 or a WHIP under 1.20. His strikeout rate was good, but his walk rate from those four seasons is right around league average. So the price you were paying for him – usually a fifth or sixth round pick – was way too high. Now that he’s going in ...
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