This ESPN Stats & Info blog post (“a must-read for everyone at ESPN”!) is too much to bear, so here we go, Fire Joe Morgan-style …
In all likelihood, 24-year-old Stephen Strasburg’s season will end within weeks with the Washington Nationals likely in a fierce pennant race.
If the Nationals were to reverse course and allow Strasburg to pitch, would the workload hurt his performance? History suggests it wouldn’t.
No one is asking or even wondering this. because the issue isn’t whether or not Strasburg would struggle in September-October; the issue is whether or not he’ll eventually suffer another major injury from throwing too much too soon.
What the Numbers Say
Since 2001, 20 pitchers fit the profile of a young arm with a considerable workload. The criteria:
• The pitcher needed to be 23 years old or younger.
• It was the pitcher’s first season throwing 150 innings.
• The pitcher had not previously thrown 150 innings in his pro career.
There’s kind of an important bullet point miss