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The Bill Just Came Due on the Tigers Deadline Gamble
© Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

The Detroit Tigers had control of this series. Then the bullpen handed it back. A tie game turned into a 6–1 loss in the eighth, and now the Wild Card comes down to one game on Thursday, Oct. 2. Win or pack the bags.

One inning, five runs, all the air gone

The Cleveland Guardians cracked it open in the eighth: Brayan Rocchio started the avalanche with a solo homer, David Schneemann banged an RBI double, and Bo Naylor landed the knockout with a three-run shot. All told, five off the relief corps in a blink. Earlier, George Valera’s first-inning solo homer off Casey Mize put Cleveland on the board; Javier Báez briefly tied it 1–1 with a fourth-inning RBI single before the late flood came. Final: 6–1, series even.

This is the bill for July

Weeks ago, we laid out how Detroit’s deadline plan put October on a thin ledge. President of Baseball Operations Scott Harris reconfigured around veteran pitching, but the returns were mixed. Kyle Finnegan (from Washington) has largely been the exception, the stabilizer A.J. Hinch trusts in leverage. Around him, it’s been shakier: Rafael Montero’s reliability has wobbled in big moments, Codi Heuer was demoted and let go, and Paul Sewald battled injuries. Rotation patches didn’t land, either: Chris Paddack struggled (5.40 ERA in six starts before a bullpen move) and Charlie Morton’s nine starts produced a 7.09 ERA before a DFA.

That was the warning sign. Game Two was the find-out portion of the gamble.

How it unraveled

This wasn’t death by walk. It was Cleveland stacking at-bats until one mistake turned into three. Detroit needed a bat-miss switch for the heart of the order and didn’t find it fast enough. That’s the postseason tax on thin margins: the wrong matchup gets expensive in a hurry.

Final Judgement

This is a bullpen game, even if a starter gets the ball. The plan isn’t innings; it’s lanes. If Finnegan is your strike-throwing anchor, protect him from dirty innings and hold him for the pocket that swings the game. If the ask is pure whiff, script it so the bat-miss arm meets the middle of Cleveland’s order, not the scoreboard number. Detroit doesn’t need heroes; it needs three-out problem solvers.

This article first appeared on Athlon Sports and was syndicated with permission.

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