Originally written on The Outside Corner  |  Last updated 3/19/13
In the This Is My Nightmare series, we'll take a look at what the absolute worst case scenario for each team would be in 2013. Think of it as the negative complement to our You May Say I'm A Dreamer series that we'll be running during our preview series. The Padres might actually be screwed over early on in the 2013 season. With Chase Headley likely missing two to four weeks of April and Yasmani Grandal missing the first 50 games of the year after a PED suspension, the Padres could fall into a huge hole (especially on offense) without either of those players. Because of how many divisional opponents the Padres play in the first two months of the year, there's a very real chance that San Diego could be out of first place in the division by double digits before we even get to the summer. Going back to Headley, his broken thumb isn't expected to have an adverse effect on the rest of his season once he recovers. But what if it does, and Headley is a shell of his seven win self from a year ago? Headley was one of the best players in baseball last year, and the Padres are counting on him to be just as good this year. If he struggles, it's going to be rough for the team to contend in 2013. The Padres rotation is going to be an issue all year. They only had two guys throw at least 100 innings last year (Edinson Volquez and Clayton Richard), and while both return, neither was overly impressive last year. In fact, Volquez led all Padres pitchers in fWAR...at 1.3. Journeyman Eric Stults was probably the team's best starter in his 14 starts, but his 4.97 strikeout rate and 87 mph fastball tells me that he's a prime candidate for regression after he had a 2.92 ERA a year ago. San Diego's other two starters are veterans Jason Marquis (whose homer-prone tendency could be masked over a full year in Petco Park) and Freddy Garcia (who has had an ERA under 4.00 once in the last seven seasons). That's a rotation that could be a complete horror show, even if it will get a boost from Cory Luebke later in the year. Past Headley, the Padres offense actually isn't too bad. However, left fielder Carlos Quentin is notoriously injury-prone, and the team really shouldn't count on him playing more than 130 games. Center fielder Cameron Maybin was a disaster in the first half before turning things around after the All-Star Break, but despite his age, his career has been so erratic thusfar that I have no idea who the "real" Cameron Maybin even is anymore. What about second baseman Jedd Gyorko? He mashed the hell out of the ball in the minors, and is holding his own at second so far in Spring Training, but the regular season is a whole different animal, and we've seen many hyped prospects fall flat on their faces in the majors. The Padres did next to nothing this winter, bringing back the majority of a 76 win team from a year ago. They've got a pretty solid core of players, but the team just reminds me of a house of cards that can collapse in an instant if you blow on it the wrong way. If the Padres get off to an awful start in 2013 like they did in 2012, they're going to need to make some changes. Padres on TOC End of Season Postmortem 2013 Season Preview You May Say I'm a Dreamer 2013 Burning Question This Is My Nightmare 2013 X-Factor (4:30 PM) [follow]
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Big Ten coaches opposed to 9-game conference schedule

Winners and losers of the 2015 MLB trade deadline

Hill arrested for reckless driving, clocked going 107 mph

Diamondbacks GM: Padres wanted Goldschmidt for Kimbrel

'Rowdy' Roddy Piper dead at 61

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Mets acquire Yoenis Cespedes from Tigers

Sheldon Richardson escapes felony charges for recent arrest

Lawyer who litigated against NFL: Brady plays every game

Cowboys should sign interested RB Steven Jackson

Jameis Winston confirmed as Buccaneers starting QB

Russell Wilson contract increases likelihood of change

RB signed by Chiefs day after tweeting them highlight video

Evgeni Malkin had real penguins at his birthday party

Pirates do Pirates at deadline: Neat little moves

Jonathan Papelbon thinks he became ‘scapegoat’ for Phillies

Padres don’t sell at trade deadline, reportedly because AJ Preller still believes in team

First photos of Jason Pierre-Paul’s injured hand emerge

Stop kvetching about Notre Dame, please

Rebuttal banner supporting Tom Brady flies over Pats practice

Ranking the NFL’s 32 head coaches

LeSean McCoy cancels party, but it wasn't some 'weird orgy'

Redskins making huge mistake by signing Galette

New Blue Jay David Price got a flat tire on his way to Toronto

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Winners and losers of the 2015 MLB trade deadline

Pirates do Pirates at deadline: Neat little moves

Mets acquire Cespedes from Tigers

Ranking the NFL’s 32 head coaches

Five worst baseball trades since 2000

Examining the state of the NFL

Puig: Broke out of slump by playing baseball video games

Braves dump risk, exchange it for risk

David Price traded to Blue Jays

The indefensible Hulk Hogan

Cole Hamels chose Rangers over Astros

Can Preller fix the mess in San Diego?

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker