Originally posted on The Outside Corner  |  Last updated 3/19/13
In the This Is My Nightmare series, we'll take a look at what the absolute worst case scenario for each team would be in 2013. Think of it as the negative complement to our You May Say I'm A Dreamer series that we'll be running during our preview series. The Padres might actually be screwed over early on in the 2013 season. With Chase Headley likely missing two to four weeks of April and Yasmani Grandal missing the first 50 games of the year after a PED suspension, the Padres could fall into a huge hole (especially on offense) without either of those players. Because of how many divisional opponents the Padres play in the first two months of the year, there's a very real chance that San Diego could be out of first place in the division by double digits before we even get to the summer. Going back to Headley, his broken thumb isn't expected to have an adverse effect on the rest of his season once he recovers. But what if it does, and Headley is a shell of his seven win self from a year ago? Headley was one of the best players in baseball last year, and the Padres are counting on him to be just as good this year. If he struggles, it's going to be rough for the team to contend in 2013. The Padres rotation is going to be an issue all year. They only had two guys throw at least 100 innings last year (Edinson Volquez and Clayton Richard), and while both return, neither was overly impressive last year. In fact, Volquez led all Padres pitchers in fWAR...at 1.3. Journeyman Eric Stults was probably the team's best starter in his 14 starts, but his 4.97 strikeout rate and 87 mph fastball tells me that he's a prime candidate for regression after he had a 2.92 ERA a year ago. San Diego's other two starters are veterans Jason Marquis (whose homer-prone tendency could be masked over a full year in Petco Park) and Freddy Garcia (who has had an ERA under 4.00 once in the last seven seasons). That's a rotation that could be a complete horror show, even if it will get a boost from Cory Luebke later in the year. Past Headley, the Padres offense actually isn't too bad. However, left fielder Carlos Quentin is notoriously injury-prone, and the team really shouldn't count on him playing more than 130 games. Center fielder Cameron Maybin was a disaster in the first half before turning things around after the All-Star Break, but despite his age, his career has been so erratic thusfar that I have no idea who the "real" Cameron Maybin even is anymore. What about second baseman Jedd Gyorko? He mashed the hell out of the ball in the minors, and is holding his own at second so far in Spring Training, but the regular season is a whole different animal, and we've seen many hyped prospects fall flat on their faces in the majors. The Padres did next to nothing this winter, bringing back the majority of a 76 win team from a year ago. They've got a pretty solid core of players, but the team just reminds me of a house of cards that can collapse in an instant if you blow on it the wrong way. If the Padres get off to an awful start in 2013 like they did in 2012, they're going to need to make some changes. Padres on TOC End of Season Postmortem 2013 Season Preview You May Say I'm a Dreamer 2013 Burning Question This Is My Nightmare 2013 X-Factor (4:30 PM) [follow]

This article first appeared on The Outside Corner and was syndicated with permission.

GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Report: Blake Griffin opts out of contract to become free agent

Report: Wolves targeting Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, other point guards in free agency

Conor McGregor’s coach says tentative plans include a return to UFC in 2017

Report: Mets open for business on the trade market

Markelle Fultz believes the Sixers are already a playoff team

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Report: Jimmy Butler’s attitude toward Fred Hoiberg made players ‘uncomfortable’

St. Louis Cardinals to hold first LGBTQ Pride Night

John Mara: Extending Odell Beckham Jr. isn’t team’s No. 1 priority

Mike Trout reportedly wanted to sign ‘lifetime deal’ with Angels

Blackhawks, Blue Jackets swap Artemi Panarin, Brandon Saad

Matt Forte expected to be ‘offensive workhorse’ for Jets?

Best of Yardbarker: Diana Taurasi makes history

The 'Finest running back from America’s Finest City' quiz

Players who need to turn around their season to save their teams

Sports & Politics Intersect: Washington gets a rare win

Three Up, Three Down: Flouting the written and unwritten rules of baseball

2016-17 NBA Awards: The Billy King Award for worst trade

Kicking it: David Villa isn't interested in a 'retirement tour'

Box Score 6/23: Philly continues to trust the process

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

The 'NBA Draft going back to school?' quiz

2016-17 NBA Awards: The Gary Payton Award for best trash talk of the year

MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

Best of Yardbarker: Diana Taurasi makes history

The 'Finest running back from America’s Finest City' quiz

2016-17 NBA Awards: The Billy King Award for worst trade

Players who need to turn around their season to save their teams

Three Up, Three Down: Flouting the written and unwritten rules of baseball

Sports & Politics Intersect: Washington gets a rare win

Kicking it: David Villa isn't interested in a 'retirement tour'

The 10 best sports docs available for streaming

Feeding your roundball addiction through the summer months

The 'NBA Draft going back to school?' quiz

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker