Originally posted on hov-mma  |  Last updated 12/27/12

These two were going to throw down a couple of weeks back, but Jamie Varner got physically ill backstage before the fight, and was unable to fight that night.  Melvin Guillard wasted little time in calling Varner a faker and coward, and stating he’d not give Varner another chance.  Well, never this time lasted until Dana White said they would meet at UFC 155.  What the boss says goes, and the two will meet Saturday now in what has become a bit of a bad blood contest.

The Records:

Jamie Varner:  20-7-1

Melvin Guillard:  30-11-2 

Past Five Performances:

Jamie Varner:  3-2 Lost to Dakota Cochrane, Defeated Nate Jolly, Defeated Drew Fickettt, Defeated Edson Barboza  and Lost to Joe Lauzon.

Melvin Guillard: 2-3 Defeated Shane Roller, Lost to Joe Lauzon, Lost to Jim Miller, Defeated Fabricio Camoes, Lost to Donald Cerrone.

Amazing Strengths:

Jamie Varner:  Good fast hands and excellent head movement. Good finisher with 18 finishes in 20 career victories.  Well rounded and talented.

Melvin Guillard:  Super fast and heavy handed.  Athletic and fast.  One punch knockout power.

Glaring Weaknesses:

Jamie Varner:  Prone to injury, has multiple broken hands/feet.  Sometimes can get hit more than he’d like.    

Melvin Guillard:  Has next to no ground defense.  Is easily subbed on the ground.  9 of his 11 career losses have come by way of submission.

How it should unfold:

Jamie Varner would be smart to exchange only briefly to open the fight and then take the fight to the mat as soon as possible.  Varner can absolutely dominate this fight on the ground, and should look to do so almost immediately.

Melvin Guillard will want to hurt Jamie standing.  He will look to unload on Varner with punches in the early moments of the fight and make it a quick night.  He understands his weaknesses like everyone else does, and he will try to keep the fight vertical.  If he’s able to do that, he should control the standup and either get a TKO or decision victory. This fight has boiled over into a grudge match, as Guillard blasted Varner for not fighting and called him a coward.  Varner has fought 27 times professionally, he’s not afraid to get in the cage and throw down, and I think he’ll look to prove that in this match.  

Bottom Line:

Try as he might, Melvin won’t be able to keep the fight from going to the ground, and when it does, it’s a matter of time before he gets submitted.   I think if you put your money down on Varner here, you’ll win the bet.    By Dan Rose for hov-mma Photo Credit - Tracy Lee's Combat Lifestyle

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