Originally posted on Fox Sports Florida  |  Last updated 2/24/12
There will be three really big games in the East in the second half of the NBA season. And Jeremy Lin won't be playing in any of them. Actually, all of the games will involve the same teams, the Heat and the Bulls. They meet March 14 and April 12 in Chicago and April 19 in Miami. In case you haven't noticed while following every move surrounding Lin and his Knicks, it's a two-team race in the East. Entering the All-Star break, Miami (27-7) has a half-game lead over Chicago (27-8), and nobody else is closer than five games back. Expect the Heat and the Bulls to continue to pull away from the pack during the second half of the season. Indiana (21-12) and Philadelphia (20-14) are still too raw to make serious runs and Orlando (22-13) is still dealing with the uncertainty of how long Dwight Howard will be around. As for the Celtics (15-17), they just wish this was pro golf, and a senior tour was awaiting them. "I know our goals," said Heat forward Chris Bosh. "We're trying to get that first seed (in the East). We want the best overall record in the whole NBA because homecourt advantage is the most important thing for us In order to do that, yes, we do have to have some separation." Also in the mix for the best overall record is Oklahoma City (27-7). But that's not anything Miami or Chicago have to worry about for a while. While the Heat enter the All-Star break as the NBA's hottest team, having won eight straight, the Bulls have more issues. Point guard Derrick Rose, the NBA's reigning MVP, recently missed five straight games with a back problem. "Overall, we're happy with the record," Bulls center Joakim Noah said of his team at the break. "But we feel like a lot of games that we lost, we could have played better." One of those was a 97-93 loss at Miami on Jan. 29, the first of four games this season between the teams. But there will be plenty of chances for the Bulls to make up for that. Here's an overall look at how the East shapes up entering the second half: Midseason favorite: How can anybody pick against the Heat the way they're playing entering the break? Thursday's 102-88 wipeout of the Knicks was their eighth straight win, and all have been by double digits. The Heat are outscoring foes by an average of 16.5 during the stretch. Bosh was calling the Heat the best team inthe NBA even when they were 8-5. Now, few are doubting him. Biggest surprise team: Even though they have a losing mark, you've got to put the 17-18 Knicks here simply because of the past three weeks. Entering a Feb. 4 game against New Jersey, they were 8-15 and going nowhere. Then coach Mike D'Antoni inserted Lin for big minutes at point guard, and a legend was born. Over 11 games, Lin averaged 23.9 points and 9.2 assists as the Knicks went 9-2. Linsanity did slow down when he shot 1-of-11 for eight points and had eight turnovers at Miami, but that merely assures he won't be on the cover of Sports Illustrated for a third straight week. Biggest disappointment: The Celtics have been trying to squeeze just one more year out of their aging bodies for several years. The tube looks finally to be empty. The lockout season, with games coming at a furious pace, has doomed Boston. The Celtics have dropped five straight and seven of eight entering the break. The biggest news for Boston during the second half is whether the Big Three of Paul Pierce, 34, Kevin Garnett, 35, and Ray Allen, 36, will be broken up due to a trade by the March 15 deadline. Pierce, still an All-Star, has the most value, but also would be the toughest to deal considering he's played his entire 14-year career with Gang Green. Bubble team: It looks as if the Cleveland isn't just treading water while waiting for LeBron James to return, if you really believe there's any chance of that. After last season's disastrous 19-63 campaign, which included a record 26-game losing streak, the Cavaliers are dusting themselves off in their second year since the King abdicated. They're a reasonable 13-18 at the break as No. 1 pick Kyrie Irving has emerged as a shoo-in for Rookie of the Year. The Cavaliers don't have enough firepower or experience to make the playoffs. But they can come close, and then maybe get lucky yet again in the lottery. East midseason MVP: James should have the Eastern Conference Player of the Week award renamed in his honor. The Heat star already has won four this season. James is averaging a career-low 36.7 minutes because Miami is wiping out foes so badly. But he's been filling up the stat sheet to the tune of 27.4 points, 8.1 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game while shooting an awesome 54.7 percent from the field. James is the favorite to win his third NBA MVP. If he does that, he will join legends Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (six), Michael Jordan (five), Bill Russell (five), Wilt Chamberlain (four), Larry Bird (three), Moses Malone (three) and Magic Johnson (three) as the only players with three or more. Coach of the half-season: Not long ago, it would have been Philadelphia's Doug Collins. But his 76ers have dropped five straight entering the All-Star break. So the award goes to Indiana's Frank Vogel, who is making team president Larry Bird one happy guy for taking a chance on him. Vogel has gotten the most out of center Roy Hibbert, who has become an All-Star, while meshing in newcomer David West at forward alongside forward Danny Granger, an Indiana staple. The unfortunate part is all of this still hasn't brought crowds back. Indiana is inexplicably averaging a meager 13,789 fans, next-to-last in the league. Most significant injury: Atlanta center Al Horford was looking this season to make his third staight All-Star game. But he was lost in January with a shoulder injury that could keep him out the rest of the regular season. Horford went down when the Hawks were 7-4. They actually have done a reasonable job of staying in good playoff position with a 20-14 mark at the break. Horford could be back for the playoffs. Then again, it's not as if the Hawks, who last won more than one postseason series in 1958 when the team won the NBA title in St. Louis, have done anything in the playoffs in the lifetimes of many of us. Three second-half storylines: --How many Sports Illustrated covers will Lin get up to? His rise from Harvard to being undrafted to being cut twice is a story so unbelievable that even the Disney studios would have thrown it out for being too far-fetched. Will it continue? Or did the Heat give other NBA teams some valuable game film to watch, and Lin will end up being exposed? --How healthy will Rose be? When he missed his five games, the Bulls went 3-2, including an ugly home loss to New Jersey. The talent-rich Heat are in better position to withstand an injury to a key player. They actually thrived when Dwyane Wade missed nine games, going 8-1. And they probably could hold up better for while without James than if the Bulls didn't have Rose. --Where will Howard end up? The Magic might want to thank Lin for keeping the Howard drama from being the NBA's lead story throughout February. But it could be different when March roles around. The trade deadline is March 15, and the Magic must decide by then whether to deal Howard or risk that he becomes a free agent this summer and bolts. Predicted order of finish: 1. Miami 2. Chicago 3. Indiana 4. Philadelphia 5. New York 6. Atlanta 7. Boston 8. Orlando Chris Tomasson can be reached at christomasson@hotmail.com or on Twitter @christomasson
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