Some Early Prediction Thoughts

all stats taken from Basketball-Reference.comI'm researching and exploring some methods to utilize in the hopes of making a more objective, more accurate prediction for the 2009-10 season with the goal of getting within, let's say, ten games of the Hawks' final record. A small step but one which would constitute an almost 30% improvement for me over last year's prediction. It's all about setting attainable goals. That last sentence is surely a petard on which I'll be hoisted.This first table looks at Win Shares, cataloging each player's rate of Win Shares per 1000 minutes for his career, the 2008-09 season, and while playing for the Atlanta Hawks.WS/1000 MinNameCareer08-09w/ ATLBibby2.242.442.19Johnson1.852.372.08Williams1.862.871.86Smith1.651.981.65Horford2.512.942.51Crawford1.391.34N/AMurray0.691.571.57Pachulia1.862.581.96Evans2.142.012.01Jones2.352.812.35West1.671.491.67Morris-0.950.000.00One can pretty easily take those rates, make an educated guess a...