2024 NFL Predictions: Who Will Be This Year’s Breakout Quarterbacks?

There was no shortage of breakout quarterbacks from the 2023 season. The biggest was Jordan Love, who finally got his shot as a starter and nearly took the Green Bay Packers to the NFC Championship Game. Love overcame a slow start to catch fire while leading the Packers to a 6-3 record down the stretch and a wild-card victory at Dallas. Most didn't expect that impact in Year 1 as a starter. But Love wasn’t the only quarterback who broke out during the 2023 season.

Baker Mayfield, Gardner Minshew and Joe Flacco all had much better seasons than expected, surprising many around the league. Who are the possible breakout candidates heading into the 2024 season? 

Here are three passers to watch closely.

Will Levis, QB, Tennessee Titans

Will Levis' career couldn't have started any better. In his first career start, he threw for 238 yards and four touchdowns, beating the Atlanta Falcons, 28-23. He finished the game with a passer rating of 130.5, and everything pointed up for Levis. 

However, the rest of his rookie season was tough. Over his next eight starts, Levis threw just four touchdowns, completing only 57.5 percent of his passes. His efficiency took a major hit, and the Titans won just two more games with him under center.

The good news is that the Tennessee Titans set up Levis to have a solid sophomore season after making several positive changes during the offseason. The biggest was the new coaching staff, with Brian Callahan in charge. The former Bengals offensive coordinator convinced his dad Bill to leave the Browns and join the Titans. That move alone should greatly help Levis, as Bill Callahan is widely known as the best offensive line coach in the NFL.

The Titans also added offensive line talent, drafting JC Latham (Alabama) with the No. 7 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. They also signed center Lloyd Cushberry to strengthen the middle of the pocket. The offensive line is still a work in progress, but there is no doubt that this group will be better in 2024 under Callahan's watch.

It’s also worth mentioning that the Titans signed Calvin Ridley to a monster deal this offseason, giving Levis another proven weapon. Ridley, along with DeAndre Hopkins, Tyler Boyd and Treylon Burks, makes for a pretty impressive wide receiver room heading into the year.

Levis has a much better supporting cast and a new head coach and play-caller who should give him every opportunity to succeed. If he can become more consistent and refine his footwork, there is no telling what the ceiling might be for Levis in Tennessee.

Aidan O’Connell, QB, Las Vegas Raiders

Aidan O'Connell didn't have the typical rookie season for a Day 3 pick. Usually, a Day 3 pick at quarterback benefits from being the third quarterback on the roster and operating as the scout team quarterback during practice. That allows him time to get up to the speed of the NFL and learn the playbook.

But that didn't happen for O'Connell. He was thrust into the starting lineup in Week 4 after Jimmy Garoppolo suffered a concussion.

In O’Connell’s first start, he was sacked seven times and look overwhelmed against the Los Angeles Chargers. He went back to the bench in Week 5, saw action again in Week 7 after a Brian Hoyer injury, and then sat again in Week 8. And then things got wild. 

After the embarrassing loss to the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football in Week 8, the Las Vegas Raiders fired Josh McDaniels and offensive coordinator Mick Lombardi. The new interim head coach, Antonio Pierce, benched Garoppolo for the remainder of the season and inserted O'Connell as the starting quarterback. Not only did O'Connell have to adjust to being a full-time starter, but he lost his head coach (the play-caller) and the offensive coordinator. 

The good news is that O’Connell handled himself well down the stretch. The Raiders went 5-4 in their final nine games with wins over the Kansas City Chiefs, Chargers, Denver Broncos, New York Giants and New York Jets. His passing numbers were impressive for a rookie, throwing 11 touchdowns to just five interceptions (86.1 passer rating). 

Heading O’Connell’s second season, there is still some uncertainty about who will be the starting quarterback in Las Vegas. But things are set up well for O’Connell to have a breakout season. The Raiders added TE Brock Bowers to their offense in the draft, giving them another dynamic weapon. They've also improved the offensive line, selecting Jackson Powers-Johnson (Oregon) and signing Andrus Peat post-draft.

If O’Connell wins the Raiders' starting job, he’ll have plenty of targets in the passing game and a young, improving offensive line. No one expects him to be the next C.J. Stroud or Love, but O’Connell could be a viable starting NFL quarterback. If that’s the case, the Raiders could wind up being a sneaky, fun team in the AFC this season.