Originally written on Fantasy Sports Locker Room  |  Last updated 12/26/14

One of the keys to any fantasy draft is finding the right player at the right price. More than just picking the a guy you want to own, you have to find value when you select him – and avoid over spending in other instances. We’d all love to own Brandon Marshall in 2014 – but not if you had to draft him first overall. With that in mind, we’re looking at some of the most over valued and under valued players at each position heading into draft day. 2014 Undervalued Quarterbacks  Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers: 3.4.3. Cam Newton’s end of season ranking among Quarterbacks in fantasy output since joining the NFL. 745. 627. 556. The yardage contributed by his top three receivers last season, very replaceable numbers. Yet, Newton is being drafted on average as QB7 according to FantasyPros ADP data. With Newton, his fantasy contributions have always been much more about his legs than his arm. The current group of receivers will get him the aerial numbers he needs – in fact, they may even improve in the red zone – and his legs will do the rest for fantasy owners as they always have. Tom Brady: New England Patriots: The fantasy community made a mistake on Brady last year, paying for his 2012 numbers (and more than that his historical production) without acknowledging that the context in the New England passing game had changed considerably. Don’t make the same mistake, in the other direction, in 2013. The situation in New England is vastly improved over last year. Rob Gronkowski is expected to be ready for Week 1, rookies Aaron Dobson (getting healthy), Kenbrell Thompkins and even Josh Boyce are another year more mature, while the team expects more passing game contributions from Danny Amendola, Shane Vereen (injuries) and James White out of the backfield. If your league mates are discounting Brady based on last year’s numbers, capitalize on the mistake. As Yahoo’s Dalton Del Don notes, as the team came together over the last 10 games last season Brady completed nearly 2/3 of his passes with a 21:6 TD:INT ratio. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins: It is somewhat surprising the fantasy community isn’t endorsing the Texas A&M product more. With 32 starts under his belt, an improved offensive line, and ‘Fins new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor speeding up the pace offensively, there is a lot to like. Tannehill has been committed to improving his deep ball and is primed to take the next step in his development. Finally, Tannehill finished eighth in fantasy points-per-game in the second half of 2013. Those taking the late-round quarterback or quarterback-by-committee route should have Tannehill in their sights. In deep leagues he is a viable starter. Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys: In every full season of Romo’s career he has been inside the top-12 quarterbacks in fantasy points. He has averaged 4305 yards and 30 touchdowns the past three seasons. He is a reliable option and runs a potentially lethal offense. New offensive coordinator Scott Linehan should get the most out of the many weapons at Romo’s disposal. The defense’s ineptness will keep the Cowboys in a shootout affair weekly, requiring the offense to lean on the passing game. A December back surgery could limit Romo in training camp, but he is expected to be 100 percent for the regular season. Targeting Romo is the later-middle rounds is advised. The post Position Assessment: Overvalued and Undervalued Quarterbacks appeared first on Fantasy Sports Locker Room.2014 Overvalued Quarterbacks Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks: Simply put, Wilson is a much more valuable player in the ‘real game than the fake. In 16 games last season, he only topped 250 yards four times and threw for multiple touchdowns in just eight games. His 539 rushing yards were the great equalizer many weeks, but his single 2013 rushing touchdown was three fewer than his rookie campaign total. Wilson’s week-to-week inconsistency is nearly maddening. The Seahawks are equally willing to blowout an opponent with Wilson attempting fewer than 20 passes as they are grinding out a 12-7 win. Let someone else in your league deal with Wilson, and the Seahawks run-first offense. Nick Foles, Philadelphia Eagles: Foles did everything right in 2013 and projects to lead a high powered Philadelphia offense in 2014. With that said, last year’s numbers are going to be very hard to repeat. While his 258 yards per game average (excluding the two contests where he threw fewer than four passes) is sustainable, a 26:2 touchdown ratio is impossible to repeat. Jeremy Maclin‘s return to the offense brings a player once thought to be a perfect fit to the fold, and big leaps forward are expected from TE Zach Ertz and rookie Jordan Matthews but 1332 yards and nine scores from DeSean Jackson won’t be easy to replace. Count on a solid season from Foles, but a bit of regression here is natural. 

PLAYERS: Cam Newton
TEAMS: Carolina Panthers
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