Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7)
Apparently the roof is falling in Pittsburgh. They’ve gone from favored by 4.5 to favored by 3 (passing two key numbers) and the public is still on Cincinnati. Why? Because they lost in overtime in Dallas in a game that was meaningless for them because they still control their own destiny? Because they lost another game as non-divisional road favorites (5-16 ATS under Mike Tomlin, which has generally been an overall successful tenure)?
While they’ve generally struggled outside of the division as road favorites, they always seem to win these divisional games. They’re 52-33 ATS in the division since 2000, including 19-7 ATS against these Bengals. Speaking of these Bengals, they’ve had a lot of issues against playoff caliber opponents. Andy Dalton was 0-8 against playoff teams last year and he’s just 2-4 against playoff contending teams this season. In all other games over the past 2 seasons, he’s 15-2.
In those 14 games, Dalton is ...