Originally posted on Football Nation  |  Last updated 12/6/12
The Colts most recent win was impressive – even among a collection of impressive 2012 victories. They stole a win from a team they weren’t supposed to beat. They did it in style. They scored twice in the final three minutes to defeat a team that had kept them pressed firm against the ropes for most of the first 57.Andrew Luck and Donnie Avery hooked up with just four seconds remaining on the clock. Luck and Co. hand delivered Detroit a defeat after completing a clutch, 1:07, 75-yard drive.The 35 point total was a season-high for the Colts. Scoring has been of some concern this season. Despite an offense ranked 3rd in total yards, they rank just 17th in total points (306.)The Colts’ soaring scoring ability is coming at the right time. With 8 wins they currently hold the first wild card spot in the AFC. If the young Colts can manage a win over their division-rival this week, they will have all but locked up a playoff berth.  The Titans’ defense has allowed the league’s second-highest point total on the season with 359. Their cause will not be aided by the absence of linebacker Colin McCarthy (concussion.)The Colts will need to attack the Titans defense with a run-first mentality. The backs gained 87 yards on just 18 carries. Not a huge day for the Colts, but they averaged over 4.8 yards per carry.  Donald Brown is out this week, so the work load will be divided between Vick Ballard and Delone Carter.Ballard has averaged 4.0 ypc in five games this season. His last performance against Tennessee yielded a 4.58 ypc average. Ballard also caught the 16-yard reception highlight-touchdown that sealed the game.On the flip side, Chris Johnson has failed to produce a 100-yard outing in either of his last two games.  Jacksonville held Johnson to 80 yards on 21 carries, Houston allowed just 51 yards on 13 carries one week later.The Titans also turned the ball over 6 times to the Texans. The Colts are not exactly experts in the field of the take-away, but Tennessee has been very careless over their last two games.The last time these teams got together, things went down to the wire. I don’t expect that Tennessee will hang around for quite as long this time around. If, by chance they do, it is hard to pick against Luck and his rapidly growing resume’ of game-winning drives.That being said, Luck needs to improve his play over those other three quarters that he has been blatantly ignoring. This young team has been thrust into the thick of the playoff picture, and if they hope to have a chance at advancing once they get there, improved football is a must. That starts at the top. Luck must avoid forcing throws early in the game.  
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