Jordy Nelson’s fantasy football value has experienced extreme amounts of turbulence over the past three seasons. He first burst onto the national scene in the 2010 playoffs, aiding the Green Bay Packers to a Super Bowl victory:
Although he may have set career highs in the 2010 regular season, which you can observe in the table below, it was hardly noteworthy. That subtle regular season improvement combined with his post-season success later that season made him a terrific sleeper candidate.
Those who drafted Nelson in 2011, which included myself, were rewarded right away when he pulled in 6 of his 8 targets for 77 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. I personally started him as my WR3 until the trading deadline, when I decided that his dependence on big plays and touchdowns made for the perfect sell-high situation. One quick look at the following game lines from 2011 should scream regression to anyone:
I ended up receiving Stevie Johnson, who I expected much more consistency from, in...