LAST WEEK STRAIGHT UP: 8-6
LAST WEEK VS. SPREAD: 8-6
CHIEFS (7.5) AT CHARGERS
Really a must-win for the Chargers if they're going to keep pace with the Broncos, who seem on the verge of running away with the AFC West. The Chargers laid a disgusting egg at Cleveland, not able to score a touchdown. The Chiefs' defense hasn't been horrific, but it still has been a disappointment, forcing very few turnovers and very few game-changing plays. This might be the tonic that gets the Chargers' offense rolling again.
On the other side of the ball, it's a mismatch. The Chiefs' offense has only one identity it's a turnover machine. Matt Cassel is back on the job, by default, so pencil in at least three turnovers on a combination of fumbled snaps, fumbles on sacks, or picks. The Chargers likely will follow the Raiders' blueprint and stuff eight men in the box, forcing Cassel to throw.
No reason to see the Chiefs staying with the Chargers in this one.