On Sunday Big D joked that if he couldn’t do odds on favorite some week he’d have me do it. I know I like to pick at his picks every week and it is much easier to criticize someone else’s picks than to put your own out there. So I thought I’d do my own version this week and let D mock my picks and see how they stack up with his version later in the week.
Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-14). I generally like the home team in night games and Cleveland is pretty much a bad team at this point.
Indianapolis at Baltimore (-17). Indy just got a big back door cover against the Pats with new franchise qb Dan Orlovsky. I think they’ll do it again.
Houston at Cincinnati (-3). Vegas is way overreacting to Houston’s quarterback situation. They have a great defense and running game, even when they had Schaub they weren’t throwing it around a lot. I honestly don’t know why Houston isn’t at least a tossup in this one. I’ll take the 3 points.
Kansas City at NY Jets (-9). I can’t back the Chefs on the road against a strong defense.
New Orleans (-3½) at Tennessee. The Saints are far better at home and on turf than on the road. Chris Johnson is rejuvenated and should shred that weak Saints D. If the Saints manage to win this I think it’s with a last second field goal.
New England (-8) at Washington. I think the Pats should be at least a 10 point favorite here.
Atlanta (-3) at Carolina. The Falcons are secretly a bad team. If anything these 2 teams are even and Carolina should be giving 3 points for home field. So I’ll take Cam and the points here thank you very much.
Tampa Bay (-1)at Jacksonville. I must be missing something here. Jacksonville is not terrible and Tampa Bay is. Lock of the week.
Philadelphia at Miami (-3). Miami is a covering machine, Philly sucks.
Minnesota at Detroit (-8). I honestly have no idea here. When in doubt take the points.
San Francisco (-4) at Arizona. Arizona is good at home and with the Niners having already locked up the division this one could easily be an upset special. I’ll take the points.
Chicago at Denver (-3½). The Bears don’t even look like an NFL team on offense right now, how are they going to score on the Broncos?
Oakland at Green Bay (-11). If Miami can light up the Oakland secondary what are the Packers going to do with them?
Buffalo at San Diego (-6). Just because it doesn’t make sense that the Bills would keep this close, that means Norv will do Norv things and Rivers will get picked off 3 times by the Bills ball-hawking secondary.
NY Giants at Dallas (-3½). These 2 teams usually play close games and Jason Garrett can’t get out of his own way. The Giants showed a lot of fight against the Packers and win this game outright.
St. Louis at Seattle (-6½). The Rams didn’t get past the Niners 35 yard line all game. That is an amazing thing. Seattle at home is usually a good bet.
In non straight-up bets, I like over 47 in the Chargers-Bills game and under 48 in the Panthers-Falcons game.
If I was forced to do a 3 team tease, which I hate doing, they’re called teases for a reason, I’d take New England, Jacksonville and Seattle.
7:00 New Jersey at Toronto
7:00 Tampa Bay at NY Islanders
7:30 Columbus at Montreal
7:30 Detroit at St. Louis (Versus)
8:00 Phoenix at Nashville
8:30 Boston at Winnipeg
9:00 Carolina at Calgary
10:00 Colorado at Vancouver
10:00 Los Angeles at Anaheim
10:30 Minnesota at San Jose
7:00 Marshall at 3 Syracuse
7:00 Evansville at 6 North Carolina (ESPNU)
7:00 10 Missouri vs Villanova (ESPN)
7:00 VMI at 14 Pittsburgh
9:00 Washington vs 11 Marquette (ESPN)
9:00 Long Beach St. at 13 Kansas (ESPNU)
9:00 Memphis at Miami (ESPN2)