Found November 08, 2012 on Fox Sports:
Harmon Rankings: QB , RB , WR , TE/DEF/K Can you believe that we've already reached Week 10 of this fantasy campaign? It seems like just yesterday we were discussing the top 5s with Cam Newton and Matthew Stafford crashing the top five at quarterback. In fact, it's been a mixed bag, replete with injuries, inconsistent play and general madness at the other positions, though Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, the Bears and 49ers have delivered on lofty expectations. Let's mine for gold at the secondary positions in this week's "Lineup Calls." Might Vernon Davis finally break free? How many turnovers will the Steelers generate against the Chiefs to cap the week? Don't worry. The Bye week nightmares end next week. Unfortunately, the injuries continue to mount and rip holes in fantasy lineups. Heroes (Exclude Jimmy Graham, Rob Gronkowski, Tony Gonzalez and Jason Witten) Aaron Hernandez is on the board as a top play, but described himself as a "game-time decision." Keep it locked on FOXSports.com for the latest news as kickoff approaches. Heath Miller vs. KC I suppose Miller is on the verge of "Exclusion" status as a steady, reliable contributor to the Pittsburgh passing game. He's caught at least four passes in all but one of the Steelers' first eight games, and he scored in his lone three-reception effort. Granted, he's not topped 67 receiving yards all season, but Miller is the most-targeted red zone receiver in the game (17 targets, yielding 11 receptions). The Chiefs are a middle of the road defense against tight ends to date, surrendering just 39 receiving yards and 0.5 touchdowns per game. However, I'm looking for Todd Haley to open things up against his former team and for the Steelers to play with a decisive field position advantage all day. Vernon Davis vs. STL Davis made a huge impact early in the season, producing touchdown receptions in each of the 49ers' first three games (four total). He's been quieted in four of the 49ers' past five games, generating 37 receiving yards or fewer (zero catches against the Seahawks) with zero touchdowns. Opponents have opted to try and eliminate him from the downfield passing game and he's been called upon to bolster the run game. I put him on the board as a mid-TE1 this week against the Rams. St. Louis has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to tight ends (5.13 receptions and 62 receiving yards per game). He's been quiet for a few weeks. I expect to see him involved early out of the Bye. Antonio Gates at TB Do you trust him again yet? Gates scored his third touchdown of the season in the Chargers' Week 8 win over the hapless Chiefs. He finished the game with three receptions, his sixth game with at least three receptions this season (three touchdowns). The Buccaneers have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to tight ends (4.5 receptions, including one-half touchdown per game). I ranked Gates seventh this week. Brandon Pettigrew at MIN Pettigrew was limited to a single reception for 11 yards on three targets in Week 9 against the Jaguars. It should be noted that the Jaguars have been strong against tight ends despite their overall defensive deficiencies. Pettigrew has produced at least three receptions in seven consecutive games (five games of at least five receptions) before getting shut down by the Jaguars. Though I am moderately concerned about his knees and the involvement of Tony Scheffler (three targets in Week 9 as well), Pettigrew rates a strong play in this divisional matchup. The Vikings have allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to tight ends (43 receptions for 453 yards, including four touchdowns), and we've seen vast improvement by the Detroit offense of late. Minnesota has allowed at 30 points in three of the past four weeks. Jermaine Gresham vs. NYG Gresham established new season-high marks in receptions (six) and receiving yards (108) against the Broncos in Week 9. He's caught at least three passes in every game this season, averaging 6.4 targets per game. With all defensive attention focused on trying to contain A.J. Green (there's no stopping him), Gresham has established himself as the No. 2 option for Andy Dalton. The Giants have been a middle of the road defense against tight ends this season. Opponents have racked up 57 receptions for 610 yards, but have scored just a single touchdown. Take the high target count in a game that could open up. Greg Olsen vs. DEN Olsen remains a go-to receiver for Cam Newton, having caught at least three passes in five of the Panthers' past six games (two games with 89 or more receiving yards). With Steve Smith drawing Champ Bailey in a one-on-one battle and Brandon LaFell returning from his concussion, I expect to see Olsen working the seams toward a big day. The Broncos have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends (44 receptions, including six touchdowns). Sleepers Scott Chandler at NE When last these teams met in Week 4, Chandler ruled the day with two touchdown receptions (four receptions for 62 yards overall). He's caught multiple passes in all but one game this season. Remember, top receiver Stevie Johnson has been limited in practice because of a right leg injury. As a result, I expect to see Ryan Fitzpatrick involving Donald Jones and Chandler early in this one. Opposing tight ends are averaging six receptions and 64.1 yards per game (five touchdowns). Jacob Tamme at CAR The Panthers' pass defense has quietly performed well this season, although the unit's shutdown of RGIII in Week 9 raised some eyebrows. Of course, this is a step up in class with Peyton Manning operating at an elite level. I'll be the first to raise my hand and state that I'm surprised by Tamme's low production level to date. He's caught multiple passes in every game this season, but has eclipsed 40 receiving yards just twice. The Panthers rank in the middle of the pack against tight ends (4.3 receptions and 50 receiving yards per game). Anthony Fasano vs. TEN If you're looking for a deep speculative play, then Fasano pops onto the radar against the Titans. He's caught 24-of-39 targets this season for 188 yards with three touchdowns (two in his past three games). Fasano isn't an overwhelming option, but he's worth a look against the Titans, the most generous defense against tight ends to date. Flops Brent Celek vs. DAL Celek remains a strong PPR option for fantasy owners, having produced at least three receptions in seven of eight starts. However, he's just a back-end TE1 option this week against the Cowboys in standard leagues. Celek has not topped 60 receiving yards in a game since Week 2. The Cowboys have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season (4.3 receptions and 37.4 receiving yards per game). Kyle Rudolph vs. DET Alas, the hot start by the Minnesota offense, including Rudolph, has fizzled. He's been a non-factor in the past three weeks, producing a total of two receptions for 17 yards. Prior to this scoreless streak, Rudolph had been a red zone best, though his overall production was sparse. The Lions have been generous to tight ends (10th-most points allowed), but the current direction of the Minnesota passing attack is problematic. He's entrenched as a TE2 now. Brandon Myers at BAL Myers is the newest sensation at the tight end position following his two-touchdown performance in Week 9. However, I send up a note of caution for this week's game against the Ravens. Baltimore has allowed the 15th-most fantasy points to tight ends, but just the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. This isn't the dominant Baltimore defense of seasons past, but the cliff is still off in the distance, particularly with the Raiders running out backup tailbacks this week. Kicker Plug-Ins Shaun Suisham vs. KC Suisham represents a fantastic plug-in play this week. He's converted 17-of-18 field goal attempts this season with 18 PATs. It's a glorious opportunity against the woeful Kansas City Chiefs squad, a unit that has allowed 30 points per game. Dan Carpenter vs. TEN What else is there to say? You take the chalk and ride a kicker against the team that has been the most generous to kickers thus far. Opposing kickers have converted 21 field goals and 33 PATs this season. Carpenter has converted multiple field goals in four of the past six games (12-of-16 overall) with multiple PAT conversions in six of the past seven games. Connor Barth vs. SD Barth went 0-for-2 on field goal attempts in Week 9 against the Raiders, but he pounded home six PATs behind Doug Martin and Josh Freeman. He's kicked at least three PATs in four consecutive games since the Buccaneers' Week 5 Bye with eight field goal attempts. Defense Plug-Ins Pittsburgh vs. KC The Steelers entered Week 10 tied for 30th in turnovers with eight. With Troy Polamalu still sidelined, fantasy owners have returned the Steelers to the waiver wire. Pittsburgh still ranks ninth in total defense, allowing 20.5 points per game. The Chiefs lead the league in giveaways, including 14 interceptions, and have ceded 17 sacks. Dallas at PHI Release the hounds. We watched as the heretofore brutal New Orleans defense registered seven sacks against Michael Vick. DeMarcus Ware is haunting the dreams of the retooled Philadelphia offensive line. The Cowboys have generated 16 sacks (19th) and just nine turnovers thus far. However, this is a huge spot for Rob Ryan's defense and a nice spot-play opportunity. New England vs. BUF Have I gone mad? Well, the run defense ranks among the best in the game with the venerable Vince Wilfork leading the charge. The secondary received a boost heading into the Bye week with the addition of cornerback Aquib Talib. In the first meeting, Ryan Fitzpatrick threw four interceptions with four touchdown passes. The Patriots will give up points, but Fitzpatrick will continue to press to keep pace with Tom Brady, thereby presenting turnover opportunities.
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