Originally posted on The Football Fan Spot  |  Last updated 5/18/12

QB Andrew Luck (Indianapolis)

Like Robert Griffin, Andrew Luck should be a solid QB1 with upside as a rookie. I expect him to have better passing numbers than either Newton or Griffin, but he won’t match either of their rushing numbers, which is why Griffin has the advantage over Luck in fantasy, at least for this year.

Projection: 4000 passing yards, 23 passing touchdowns, 14 interceptions, 240 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns (260 pts standard/306 pts in 6 pt TD leagues)

RB Donald Brown (Indianapolis)

With Joseph Addai gone, Donald Brown looks like the clear lead back in Indianapolis. However, the former 1st round pick has had a very inconsistent career. Both Delone Carter and Vick Ballard could challenge for his job at some point this season if he struggles. There is some upside here with Brown in an improved Indianapolis offense.

Projection: 180 carries 770 rushing yards 8 total touchdowns 20 catches 180 receiving yards (143 pts standard/163 pts PPR)

RB Delone Carter (Indianapolis)

Donald Brown is the lead back, but Delone Carter is the #2 back and he should also get some carries and maybe even a few starts if Donald Brown, a career disappointment after being drafted in the first round in 2009, struggles. There’s some sleeper value with him.

Projection: 130 carries 520 rushing yards 5 total touchdowns 10 catches 80 receiving yards (90 pts standard/100 pts PPR)

RB Vick Ballard (Indianapolis)

He’ll need Carter and Brown to struggle to become the lead back, but that could happen. The Colts had 3 backs go over 100 carries last year with Brown, Carter, Joseph Addai. They could have a similar thing happen this year with Brown, Carter and the rookie Ballard. There’s some sleeper value with him.

Projection: 110 carries 440 rushing yards 4 total touchdowns 10 catches 70 receiving yards (75 pts standard/85 pts PPR)

WR Reggie Wayne (Indianapolis)

Reggie Wayne still managed 75 catches for 960 yards and 4 touchdowns last year with Curtis Painter and Dan Orlovsky at quarterback, but here’s nearing that point where even Hall of Fame wide receivers fall off a cliff statistically. I’d let him be someone else’s problem.

Projection: 68 catches 920 receiving yards 6 receiving touchdowns (128 pts standard/196 pts PPR)

WR Austin Collie (Indianapolis)

Austin Collie is not that great of a receiver and has never been able to produce without Peyton Manning. However, with the switch from Curtis Painter to Andrew Luck, Collie should see the 54 catches for 514 yards and 1 touchdown he had last year increase across the board.

Projection: 70 catches 740 receiving yards 3 receiving touchdowns (92 pts standard/162 pts PPR)

WR TY Hilton (Indianapolis)

I’m only listing him because Bruce Arians is their offensive coordinator and he had success with similar players like Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown early in their careers when he was in Pittsburgh. Hilton is a talented receiver and this receiving corps still leaves a lot to be desired so there’s some deep sleeper value with him.

Projection: 35 catches 600 receiving yards 2 receiving touchdowns (72 pts standard/107 pts PPR)

TE Coby Fleener (Indianapolis)

I like Fleener to have an immediate impact. Andrew Luck loves throwing to his tight ends and the Colts should use plenty of two-tight ends sets to get Dwayne Allen and Fleener involved, though Fleener is the better receiver and more useful player for fantasy purposes. Luck has familiarity with Fleener and should target him early and often, particularly in the red zone. As I’ve said before, this Colts receiving corps still leaves a lot to be desired and Fleener might finish the season 2nd on the team in receiving. There’s some potential for him to have a Rob Gronkowski esque rookie season.

Projection: 45 catches 720 receiving yards 7 receiving touchdowns (114 pts standard/159 pts PPR)

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