Minnesota Vikings (8-6) at Houston Texans (12-2)
The Vikings kept their playoff hopes alive last week, as they are one of many 8-6 teams in the NFC. They are long shot hopes, however. Not only do they not control their own destiny, their final 2 games are against Houston and Green Bay, two of the better teams in the NFL. Making matters worse, the Vikings are in a bad spot trends wise here.
Teams are 45-19 ATS since 2008 as non-divisional home favorites before being divisional road favorites since 2008. The Texans have no distractions on the horizon and teams generally cover in this situation. Going off that, non-conference home favorites are 37-18 ATS before being divisional road favorites since 2002. The Vikings, meanwhile, have a distraction next week, as they have that aforementioned Green Bay game. Non-divisional road dogs are 47-72 ATS since 2002 before being divisional road dogs.
The Vikings also struggle mightily on the road, winning just 2 of 7 games on the road. Those games...