Originally written on The Pass Rush  |  Last updated 10/25/14

It was a wild Sunday for me. After being thunderstruck by home dogs this year, I took a pledge from taking a week off from betting against any home dogs. In doing so, I passed on some spreads that I really wanted to take such as Patriots (-4) over Bills, 49ers (-4) over Jets, and Bengals (-2.5) over Jaguars. The home dog didn’t get there way in those games and they were all easy winners. Instead, I tried to identify the strongest home teams and took the Falcons and Cardinals. I lost those two plays against the spread, but I decided to hedge my bets by teasing those spreads down so the spread wasn’t a factor. I hit my teasers and ended up Sunday in positive territory after going 3-for-3 on Saturday thanks to Brandon’s two picks and Texas over Oklahoma State. I managed to hit my teasers thanks to a last-second field goal in the Falcons game and an overtime win in the Cardinals game, which proves that it’s better to be lucky than good. Let’s get into Monday Night’s game. CHICAGO BEARS (+3.5) @ DALLAS COWBOYS Dallas hasn’t been very impressive the last two weeks. After scoring just 7 points against Seattle and pretty much getting rocked by the Seahawks, the Cowboys managed a mere 16-10 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on their home turf. I like taking the Bears and the points tonight. This game is all about defense. Chicago’s defense has been tremendous this year. The Bears rank 1st in sacks and 2nd in takeaways. Dallas has a pretty solid defense themselves. With the over/under at 41.5, I think the opportunity can be taken to tease the over/under to under 48.5 to pair up with Bears +10.5. In a tight defensive battle, it’s nice to have the 3.5 points on my side. This game should come down to a field goal. My concern here is the Bears offense. What Jay Cutler will show up on Monday Night? Dr. Jekyll or Mr. Hyde? Cutler has me less than optimistic with the Bears chances on the road against a solid defensive unit. Case in point: the Green Bay Packers game in week 2. Cutler was awesome in the season debut against the Colts, absolutely horrendous against the Packers, and then poor against the Rams. His average QB rating is a 58.6. I don’t expect a big game out of him against a solid Cowboys defense. Matt Forte is listed as questionable, but I have a feeling that he’ll be in the starting lineup this week. Forte will be very valuable in the Bears passing game. Despite Cutler’s shaky start to the season, I’m expecting his defense to keep the Bears in this game well into the 4th quarter. I think you see a lot of three and outs, a lot of punts, and a lot of field goals in this game. However, turnovers can turn into easy points. In a tight defensive battle, I’ll favor taking the points, as I feel that this game will be decided by 3. I’ll play one unit on Bears (+3.5) and one unit on a teaser of Bears (+10.5)/Under 48.5. Even if the Cowboys win 24-17, 27-20, or 27-17, I’m coming out even. Good luck. Prediction: Bears 20 – Cowboys 16 Pick Against the Spread: Bears +3.5 (Confidence: 6/10) Teaser: Bears +10.5/Under 48.5 (Confidence: 7/10)
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Report: Army football enticed recruits with alcohol, women

Report: Kobe viewed Dwight Howard's departure as 'positive'

Lions suspend CJ Mosley, send him home from London

Federal judge blocks New Jersey sports betting law

Report: Bucs sign Gerald McCoy to seven-year extension

Tim Tebow lectures Florida fans about booing

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Report: Shonn Greene arrested after parking in handicap spot

Report: Joe Maddon wants a very hefty salary

Memorabilia dealer at center of Todd Gurley scandal fired

Colt McCoy on learning he was starting ‘it’s about f—ing time’

Four Questions for Game 3 of the World Series

Percy Harvin not planning on changing

WATCH: Kentucky DB Blake McClain lays out Miss. St. WR

WATCH: Dwyane Wade videobombs himself

GRAPHIC: Cam Atkinson shows how close he was to losing eye

WATCH: 350-pound Arkansas lineman throws TD pass

Penn State fans blew air horns outside Ohio State's hotel?

WATCH: Oregon's Charles Nelson has impressive punt return TD

WATCH: American flag rips during Game 3 national anthem

WATCH: Tony Parker draws foul by simply yelling 'hey'

Video: Tom Izzo takes the stage with KISS on Midnight Madness

Eight NFL records that won’t be broken for a long time

Big trouble for Bruins: Chara out 4-6 weeks, possibly more

Blazers, Seahawks owner Paul Allen gives $100M to fight ebola

NFL News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Report: Army enticed recruits with alcohol, women

Penn State fans blew air horn at Ohio State players' hotel?

Tim Tebow lectures Florida fans

Trouble for Bruins: Chara out 4-6 weeks

Joe Maddon opts out of contract with Rays

NBA Replay Center debuts next week

World Series win = Giants dynasty?

Reliving the worst college football game of the last 10 years

NFL teams facing must-win scenarios in Week 8

What the return of Luis Suarez means for Barcelona

Programs with a lot on the line this week

Wilson denies rumored Harvin rift

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.