No, this isn't a lesson in geometry despite the reference to Pythagoras. Hefty math is involved however. You've been warned.
Nate Dunlevy tackles Bill James' famous concept of pythagorean wins as it pertains to our Colts.
Let's start with an explanation:
The concept is simple, even though the math is tricky. The idea is that over time, a team's point differential (points scored minus points allowed) is a better indicator of how that team will perform in the future than their record is.
For example, a team that is 6-2 but has been outscored by five points on the season because of a couple of blowout losses is more likely to play like a 4-4 team going forward than like a 6-2 team.
Simple right? Some would say a team is "hot" or "getting lucky" or "has a knack for winning close games" but the math doesn't lie. If you're interested in the math click here.
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