Originally posted on The Football Fan Spot  |  Last updated 11/15/13
New England Patriots (7-2) at Carolina Panthers (6-3) It’s almost always a bad idea to bet against Tom Brady as an underdog. In his career, Brady is 29-13 ATS as an underdog and 40-15 ATS as an underdog or favorite of less than 3. It makes sense. This is the same Tom Brady who still feels slighted by being taken in the 6th round 13 years ago. He’s at his best when people doubt him and all the talk this week is about how the Panthers have finally arrived (news flash: they’ve been arriving all season). However, we might not be getting enough points to confidently take the Patriots here. The Panthers have been a dominant team this season, especially over the past 5 weeks, which include 4 wins by 14+ points and a 1 point win in San Francisco last week that was easily the biggest victory of the Cam Newton/Ron Rivera era. They are moving the chains at a 79% rate, as opposed to 68% for their opponents, a differential is that 2nd in the NFL. The Patriots, meanwhile, haven’t been the same th...
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