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NFL divisional round: Two Saturday TD bets
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (11). Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

NFL divisional round: Two Saturday TD bets

Saturday's NFL action will see the Houston Texans take on the Baltimore Ravens and the Green Bay Packers visiting the San Francisco 49ers. There's plenty of touchdown prop value on the board, evidenced by our two selections for this Saturday slate both being north of +200. Bet responsibly, and enjoy the action!

Jayden Reed (+210 FanDuel)

Jayden Reed was held without a catch last weekend, and considering how this Packers pass-catcher group has been spreading the wealth, we're expecting the targets to come turning back to Jordan Love's top target this Saturday.

Reed leads the Packers in red zone work, and his 10 touchdowns also top the team. That should come in handy here against a San Francisco defense that allows the fifth-most receptions/game to WRs and the ninth-most touchdowns to the position.

Isaiah Likely (+225 Caesars)

So, the expectation as of this writing is that Baltimore is going to be getting Mark Andrews back this weekend. That is a tremendous development for the Ravens here, and might then have you confused why we're on Likely here to score.

After previously being reported out for the season, it's a surprise that Andrews is so close to returning to the field. If he does, we're working under the assumption that he'll be limited in some capacity.

One might even consider him even more unlikely to get too many snaps near the goal line, where the physically dials up to 11. If that's the case, we're grabbing some intriguing value on Likely finding the end zone here.

The Ravens tight end has scored four times in his past five games, scoring five total. A big reason why has been his red zone usage, seeing 1+ red zone target in four straight games. 

No team allows more receptions/game to tight ends than the Houston Texans. Likely should have his chances on Saturday.


Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use. 


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