The Seattle Seahawks look to extend their winning streak to five games this week as the St. Louis Rams come to town. The Seahawks are arguably the best team in the league right now and are riding on a promising wave of momentum; in the last three games, they’ve outscored their opponents 150-30. Seattle has to win this Sunday to have any chance of winning the NFC West.
AccuScore projections heavily favor Seattle, giving them a 81.3 percent chance at getting the win. The average score after 10,000 simulations is 28-15. Seattle has a 56.1 percent chance at covering the -10.5 spread. There is a 51.2 percent chance the total score goes over 41. The safest bet to take here would be to take Seattle and bet the money line; keep in mind, Seattle has a 60.1 percent chance at a big win (10 points or more).
The Seahawks are coming off an impressive win over the San Francisco 49ers (42-13). Rookie quarterback Russell Wilson threw for a season-high four TDs. Wilson has been getting better and better each week, improving his accuracy and limiting his turnovers. The most impressive part of his game, at least for someone with such little experience in the league, has been his ability to extend plays. His offensive line has been steady all season too. They’re well-coached and their consistency will be even more important come playoffs. Wilson has to get his team the win, and hope Arizona defeats San Francisco in order for Seattle to get the NFC West title.
The Seattle offense will face a St. Louis defense that has limited its last five opponents to 17 points or fewer. The Rams defense has been surprisingly successful against mobile quarterbacks this season, getting wins over RGIII, Kaepernick, and Wilson too earlier in the season. They apply pressure well, and force turnovers once the QB scrambles. The defense has a very high probability of forcing either a fumble or an interception. When these two teams last met, Wilson had three interceptions and got sacked twice. He was also limited to just 14 yards rushing.
AccuScore projects 189 yards, 1 TD, and a passer rating of 99.5 for Wilson. He’s also projected to carry it 6 times for 34 yards. Running back Marshawn Lynch is projected to get 22 carries for 119 yards. He had 118 yards and a touchdown the last time these two teams met. Wide receiver Sidney Rice, who caught four passes for 41 yards in week four vs the Rams, is projected to get 48-49 yards on 3 receptions.
The Rams will most likely run the ball with Steven Jackson early and often. He’s just 10 yards shy of the mark. He is projected to run for 58 yards on 15 carries. Seattle is 11th in the league in rush defense, allowing 104.7 yards/game.
QB Sam Bradford, who went 16/30 for 221 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT against the Rams last time, is projected to throw for 225 yards with a passer rating of 75.9. He has approximately the same chance at throwing an interception as a touchdown.
I think this game will be decided fairly early on; some quick three-and-outs by St. Louis are going to make the Seattle crowd that much louder, and things could get out of hand.
Game Prediction: Seattle by 10.