Setting Player Expectations for the 2009 Redskins Offense

Yesterday, I began to set goals for individuals in terms of helping the Redskins offense reach top-of-the league status. Today, we need to look at the total production the team will need, and the means to that end.The assumption with field goal kicking is that Shaun Suisham needs to be able to hit 75% of his attempts, subject to adjust based on the average difficulty of a kick.Total OffenseThe Redskins need to score just more than 2 TDs per game, and at least 2 FGs per game.GOAL: 34 TDs, 42 FG attemptsTouchdown ProductionThe mark for Jason Campbell is going to be 23 total touchdowns. For this exercise, that breakdown is going to be 23 passing TDs, and 0 rushing TDs. Rushing TDs by Campbell will count towards his total.For Clinton Portis, we'll stick with the 9 rushing TDs set yesterday, and we'll give Ladell Betts the remaining 2.GOAL: 23 passing TDs, 11 rushing TDsReceiving TDsThis is a little bit more tricky. Let's assume that the touchdown receptions will be split evenly between the Tight Ends and the Receivers. Cooley should lead the field, but if Moss is going to bring the big play element back this year, he needs to lead the wide receivers by a good margin. I think Fred Davis needs to be third on the team in receiving TDs this year. That's his number one responsibility.As for the remaining 7 TDs or so, I'll project multiple TDs from Randle El and Malcolm Kelly and Mike Sellers. Chances are, Portis will get a TD reception just by being around the ball.Chris Cooley: 7 TDsSantana Moss: 6 TDsFred Davis: 3 TDsAntwaan Randle El: 2 TDsMalcolm Kelly: 2 TDsMike Sellers: 2 TDsClinton Portis: 1 TDPassing YardageIf Campbell attempts the same amount of passes last year, but improves his Y/A figure by 1.0 yards, that will add 500 yards to his season total. That gives him a total of 3,500 yards. We'll throw in another 40 passing yards for Antwaan Randle El successful passes.GOAL: 3,540 passing yardsFor all those yards, someone has to be on the receiving end of them. If Santana Moss does in fact provide 6 TDs worth of production, that's going to mean another 1,000 yard season. I'll set his mark at 1,150. Between Chris Cooley and Fred Davis, we set that goal at 1,000 yards. Cooley is going to drop some, but Davis will pick up the slack. Our No. 2 and 3 receivers need to combine for 900 yards. We'll save 300 yards for the backs, and the remainder goes to the 4th through 6th receivers.Santana Moss: 1,150 yardsChris Cooley: 680 yardsMalcolm Kelly: 475 yardsAntwaan Randle El: 415 yardsFred Davis: 320 yardsLadell Betts: 170 yardsClinton Portis: 140 yardsDevin Thomas: 120 yardsMike Sellers: 70 yardsRushing YardageClinton Portis needs to be held under 300 carries this year. In the regular season at least. That means that Ladell Betts will get to push 150 carries this year if he's healthy all year. There will be other runners in the mix as well, but we'll only project for Betts and Portis. Portis needs to average around last year's 4.2, whereas Betts has 3.9 as a goal for him.GOAL: 1,850 rushing yardsClinton Portis: 1,200 rushing yardsLadell Betts: 550 rushing yardsMike Sellers: 50 rushing yardsSo, in summary, we'll link to this post throughout the season to see how individual players are doing relative to how we need them to play.Hog Heaven Projection Table PLAYER Pass Yd Rush TD Rush Yd Rec TD Rec Yd Jason Campbell 3,500 - - - - Clinton Portis - 9 1,200 1 140 Ladell Betts - 2 550 - 170 Santana Moss - - - 6 1,150 Antwaan Randle El 40 - 25 2 415 Malcolm Kelly - - - 2 475 Devin Thomas - - 25 0 120 Chris Cooley - - - 7 680 Fred Davis - - - 3 320