Found September 27, 2012 on Just Cover Blog:

Tonight had such great potential, what with replacement refs and the Cleveland Browns on the field at the same time. But, no, the NFL and the real refs just had to settle their squabbles in time for tonight. After three weeks of chaotic deliberations of the rule book, the real refs will take the field. I feel a bit robbed. I was looking forward to a team being granted four timeouts in a half tonight. Or the Browns coach Pat Schurmer inexplicably challenging an obvious blown call that favored his team. With the Browns and replacement refs on the same field, the possibiliies were endless this evening. Now, its just another AFC North slugfest, one that will probably be dominated by the hometown, Super Bowl contender Baltimore Ravens. Baltimore, 2-1, is favored by -12 over the winless Browns. The Over/Under is set at 44. But, we are here to break down those player props, so lets get right to it.

Joe Flacco, Over/Under 21.5 completions, 250.5 passing yards, 1.5 TD passes……Flacco’s completion total in the opener was 19.5, and he went over with 21. It was 21.5 on Sunday against the Pats, and he went over with 28. In between those starts he completed 22 passes against Philadelphia. He’s had games of 299 and 332 passing yards and has also had at least two TD passes twice. He’s  pulled that last feat in seven of his last nine games going back to last season. Through three games in 2012, Flacco has been an over machine on the prop board. And, dont look now, but Little Joey Flacco is the AFC’s top ranked passer. The worst of his three starts was clearly the road game against Phily. He needed 42 passes to move 232 yards, barely completed half his passes and threw his only pick of the season. His two home starts have been impressive. Against the Browns, he’s actually testing a pretty solid secondary. How the pass defense takes on Flacco, especially with CB Joe Hayden still sidelined on suspension, is an obvious key factor in tonight’s game. At home, they’ve been down right tough. Vick and Ryan Fitzpatrick had a lot of struggles. Both were held to below six yards an attempt. Vick threw for over 300 yards, but needed 56 attempts and barely completed half his passes. The Bengals Andy Dalton did a number on them in the Browns only game going 24/31, 308 yards and three scores. Browns pass D struggled in their only road start, Flacco has stuffed the stat sheets in both his home  games this year. I get the feeling if you take Flacco on those individual overs across the board, that you’ll get at least two out of three.

Ray Rice, Over/Under 99.5 rushing yards, 4 catches, 39.5 receiving yards…..Usually you can find a rushing/receiving yards combo prop for backs like Rice. Maybe a book will release on of those throughout the day, but for now we can find props that separates those stats. Rice is the epitome of the straw the stirs the drink. Flacco has improved his game, but without arguably the best dual threat back in the NFL shouldering a ton of the offensive burden, this Raven offense would be stuck in 2008. He’s had 99 and 101 rushing yards in the last two games. He needs to go over the century mark rushing to go over this total. As great as he’s been, he’s only had 14 career 100-yard games. Half of those, however, have come since the beginning of last season. He has caught more than 4 balls in 12 of the Ravens last 20 games, with exactly four catches two other times. On Over 4 catches, you would have only lost 30 percent of the time during this stretch. He’s had at least 40 receiving yards in 13 of those games. Percentages there say skip the rushing prop, but take the over on catches and receiving yards. However his history against the Browns paints a different picture. In eight career games, he’s averaging 96.9 rushing yards a game, the highest against anyone that he’s had at least three games against. He hasnt been used much in the passing game against Cleveland, catching only 20 passes in those eight games for 138 yards and just 17.3 yards a game. Now that you’re confused, what are you going to do?

Anquan Bolden, Over/Under 4 catches, 55.5 receiving…….Bolden hasnt caught more than four catches in a game yet this year, but he does have two games with exactly four. The only time he’s had more than 55.5 yards was the 63-yard effort in the opener against Cincy. He only had five games a year ago with more than 4.5 catches and seven with more than 55.5 yards. He also added a 6-catch, 101-yard day against the Pats in last year’s playoffs.

Torrey Smith, Over/Under 3.5 catches, 57.5 receiving yards……What an amazing, inspiring effort out of Smith on Sunday night against New England. His brother had died in a motorcycle accident hours before, and Smith honored him with six catches, 127 yards and two scores. Bravo. In 14 regular season games a year ago, he went over tonight’s catch total six times, the yardage total just five times. Before the game against New England, he only had four catches combined the first two games with 51- and 57-yard games.

Dennis Pitta, Over/Under 4 catches, 49.5 receiving yards……Do we continue to ride the Pitta Train? In three games this year, the Ravens tight end has had games of 5, 8 and 5 catches with at least 0 yards in each contest. A year ago in 18 combined regular and postseason games, he only had more than four catches four times and just once did he go for at least 50 yards. He’s certainly on a career-best streak. He needs to maintain that pace to hit these overs tonight.

Jacoby Jones, Over/Under 2.5 catches; Ed Dickson, Over/Under 2 catches…..We’re seeing props for both Jones and Dickson. Jones has had a pair of 3-catch games already this season and the game he didnt was in Week Two against Phily, but the one catch he did have that game went for a 21-yard score. A year ago with the Texans, he had six games of at least three catches and four others with exactly two. He’s moving up in the Ravens pecking order at WR and perhaps the extra targets tossed Jones way might be worth a flier on this over.  As for Dickson, he’s off to a slow start this year due to the emergence of Pitta on the tight end depth chart in front of him. He only has five catches this year. After just 11 catches as a rookie in 2010, he did have at least three catches in half the Ravens games a year ago. But as long as Pitta remains hot, you have to wonder how many chances to former Oregon Duck will really get.

Trent Richardson, Over/Under 57.5 yards, 3 catches…..You’re a rookie. Your first 50 carries havent gone spectacturaily well, avergaing just 3.5, a mark that falls below three if you take out your single longest run. You have a rookie QB. You dont have a lot of talent around you. And, now, you get to go up against the Baltimore Ravens. Ouch. As for the catches prop, Richardson has been targeted 15 times already and after just one catch in the opener has had four and six grabs in the last two games.  Moving on to Richardson’s main skill of running the football, he is only averaging 58.7 rushing yards per game.  He had a great game in Week 2 against the Bengals, rushing for 109 yards and adding another 36 receiving. He did next to nothing in Week One and Week Three, rushing for 37 and 29 yards, on 2.16 yards per carry, against Phily and Buffalo respectively. Hey, maybe he’s got one of those every other week pattern thing going. Good luck with that against Baltimore. The Ravens have allowed 70 rushing yards per game to their opponents leading rusher this year. Ben Jarvis Green Ellis had a good day on them, LeShean McCoy did alright, but needed a ton of carries just to break 80 yards, but the the Steven Ridley/Danny Whitehead tandem did zilch for the Pats on Sunday night, barely averging 2.0 ypc. All of those teams had dangerous options elsewhere on the field for the Ravens to tend to. The Browns dont. Richardson only had 12 carries a week ago, after 19 each in the first two games. I dont think he’ll break out against the Ravens, but if his usage resembles those first two games, he could reach this over on volume touches alone. But I’m still not buying that because I dont want to take any overs with the Browns against a good team. Or really any NFL team. Baltimore is both.

Brandon Weeden, Over/Under 21.5 completions, 220.5 passing yards…..Why is Weeden’s completion total on the board the same as Flacco’s? That seems to scream for Under money. Weeden was awful in his rookie debut against the Eagles, with more than twice as many incompletions as completions, four picks and passer rating of 5.1. But he’s quietly put together good to ok efforts in the last two starts. He had had 26 and 27 completions against the Bengals and Bills, averaged 280 yards passing, completed nearly 65 percent of his passes and tossed three scores to just one pick. Tall task tonight not only against Baltimore, but having to do it without leading receiver Mohamed Massaquoi whose out tonight with an injured hamstring. I have no clue why Weeden doesnt have a TD passes or a TD+INTs thrown prop on the board.

Greg Little, Over/Under 3 catches, Benjamin Watson Over/Under 2.5 catches, Josh Gordon, Over/Under 2 catches…..With Massaquoi out, somebody as to step up and reap some statistical benefits. Here are the trio’s numbers so far in 2012. Little has seven grabs on 13 targets, Watson has three catches on 10 targets and Gorden six catches on 13 targets. Little has cuaght more than 3 passes in 11 of 19 career games. But he’s also been a bit pouty about his role in the offense lately. He caught five passes in Week 2, but just a combined two in the other contests.  Watson has gone over 2.5 catches once this year and did so in seven of 13 games a season ago, with five other games of exactly two grabs. As the Gordon, the rookie out of Baylor, his game log on catches reads 2, 1, 3. I dont know if I can trust Little given his grumpiness. But Watson and Gordon should get at least three catches given their assumed increase in targets this evening due to Massaquoi’s injury.

THE BACKYARD
BEST OF MAXIM
AROUND THE WEB
RELATED ARTICLES

Baltimore Ravens Player Spotlight: Quarterback Joe Flacco

Quick Quiz: Name the NFL quarterback with the most home wins since 2008.Give up?It's Baltimore Raven quarterback Joe Flacco. After last night's 23-16 win over the Cleveland Browns, Flacco's home record as a starter is 30-5.If you are an NFL team headed for a game against the Ravens, then you better not look past that game.Joe Flacco is regularly compared to Matt Ryan...

Caption This: Joe Flacco had an awkward spike

Joe Flacco is one of perpetural internet scorn, and why stop today. Thursday night, the Baltimore Ravens’ QB made sure to not be confused with Rob Gronkowski.

Joe Flacco Takes Down Browns

Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco followed up a shredding off New England four days ago with 356 yards, a passing touchdown, a rushing touchdown against Cleveland Thursday.Fantasy Spin:Flacco has 1,269 yards through four weeks and is on pace to best his career high in passing yards by 1,454 yards. This was an important performance for the inconsistent Flacco to prove to fantasy owners...

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Week 4 NFL Preview: Thursday Night Football

Joe Flacco shut up some of the naysayers (myself included) after he was able to put together a virtuoso performance in their 31-30 victory over the New England Patriots. Throwing for 382 yards and 3 TD is a primetime performance against the other quarterback who was named Tom Brady. Ray Rice was effective as usual rushing for 101 yards on 20 carries, but he also hauled in 5 passes...

Baltimore Ravens after three weeks: the Good, the Bad and the Ugly

Three weeks of the 2012 NFL season is in the books and it has certainly had its shares of ups (Arizona Cardinals 3-0…what??) and downs (NFL replacement refs, nuff said) and the Baltimore Ravens are no different. Here are my takeaways three weeks into the season for the Ravens.   The good: Joe Flacco appears to be out to prove something this year and the Ravens are greatly...

Ravens do their thing as refs return

The regular NFL officials returned to work Thursday night, and the fans gave them a warm welcome back before bestowing their loudest cheers upon the Baltimore Ravens, who never trailed in a 23-16 victory over the winless Cleveland Browns. Joe Flacco went 28 for 46 for 356 yards, threw one touchdown and ran for another. Cary Williams returned an interception 63 yards for a score...

Fantasy Football News: Frustrations with Baltimore Ravens play calling continue

How long will it take the Ravens to learn your best player should get the ball more than 25 times a game I don’t know why week after week, I keep expecting something to change with the Baltimore Ravens play-calling. It might be I have too much faith that Cam Cameron will gain some sense, or maybe it is my fantasy football side doing the complaining. In the end, the Ravens just...

Ravens stay unbeaten at home, beat Browns 23-16

The Ravens (3-1) defeated the Cleveland Browns (0-4) 23-16 Thursday night. Baltimore got another 300+-yard game from Joe Flacco who connected with six different receivers, including nine catches for 131 yards to Anquan Boldin. As impressive as the offense was, the defense looked like they were rounding into form. Cary Williams picked off rookie quarterback Brandon Weeden and returned...

Week 4 Fantasy Football Preview: Ravens vs Browns

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore RavensThe new age Browns (Cleveland Browns) versus the old school Browns (Baltimore Ravens). It is known that the Ravens aren't happy about playing in the Thursday night game after playing in the Sunday night game. While they think they are not getting enough rest or time to game plan, the scheduling gods did help them out by putting them up against...

Week 4: Browns-Ravens preview

Cleveland Browns (0-3) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1)Thursday, 8:25 ET, NFL Network, Brad Nessler, Mike Mayock, Alex Flanagan Last Meeting: The Ravens won, 20-14, at home last Dec. 24 with QB Joe Flacco throwing a pair of touchdown passes. Streaking: The Ravens have won 12 straight home games and 20 of their last 21 at M&T Bank Stadium. The engine that can: Browns RB Trent...

Browns hang around to make it close----but Ravens hold on, 23-16...

You have got to give the Cleveland Browns credit...they made it close and took it down to the final seconds of the game... And this was Brandon Weeden's best game so far as a rookie quarterback in the NFL, despite incessant pressure from the Ravens' pass rush...But in the end, the Ravens wore down the 0-4 Browns, winning by the margin of a Cary Williams interception pick...

Prediction Wednesday: Ravens should move to 3-0 at home

The Ravens will be playing their fourth game in 17 days, and third primetime game in their first four Thursday night when they take on the division rival Browns. Cleveland is winless and has a rookie quarterback and running back combination in the backfield. The winless part won’t change for Cleveland because the Ravens’ defense will harass Brandon Weeden into mistakes. Weeden...

What We Learned From Last Night’s Ravens/Browns Game

The real refs are much better Great to see a smooth game played. The product may not have been the best, but at least the refs didn’t add an additional hour and half to the game with constant meetings, reviews and overall ***********. Welcome back, refs. Here’s to hoping Ed Hochuli kept in shape over the lockout. There was noticeably less Cee Lo last night Our prayers were all...
Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
Help
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.