First, an apology. Due to some glitch, last week’s true or false did not post properly. When I clicked the preview, everything came up correctly so I figured it published without any problems.
When I went to the article to update records, I saw that the link was dead. I’ll update records soon, but for now let’s move on! Heading into the fifth week of the season, the Buffalo Bills are 2-2 and entering a tough stretch with games against the 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, Tennessee Titans, Houston Texans, and New England Patriots. At worst, the Bills need to go 2-3 during this stretch. Believe it or not, I think the Bills have a legitimate chance against the 49ers. With that, let’s take a look at our week five true or false questions!
1. Vernon Davis will lead the 49ers in both receptions and yards receiving for the 49ers.
True. The Bills seem to struggle every week at defending athletic tight ends that can make plays down field and look for that to continue on Sunday as Davis is one of the better tight ends in the NFL.
Brandon Hess: False. The Bills corners have been covering well on the outside, so it wouldn’t surprise me for Alex Smith to look for Davis often over the middle. However both Michael Crabtree and Mario Manningham have big play ability and I think Smith will find them down field a few times in this game. Enough for either of them to finish with more receiving yards than Davis.
Mike Straw: True.
Ryan Talbot: I’m going to go with false. I think Davis will lead the team in one of the categories, but not both. I feel Davis will be the leading receiver in terms of yards, but I’ll take someone else from the field to lead in receptions.
2. Stevie Johnson will finish with at least 75 yards receiving.
False. The 49ers have one of the top defenses in the NFL and it will be a struggle for Ryan Fitzpatrick to get in a rhythm. Because of this, look for Johnson’s numbers to struggle as a result.
Hess: True. The Niners have allowed 4 wide-outs to rack up at least 75 yards receiving against them in their first 4 games. Johnson has yet to eclipse the 75 yard total in his first four games, but coming off a New England game in which he was held to just 2 receptions for 23 yards I expect him to bounce back with a big game in the City by the Bay.
Talbot: False. The 49ers have given up 75 yards to receivers, but they’ve played some great receivers in the Green Bay wide-outs, Calvin Johnson, and Percy Harvin. I don’t see Fitzpatrick and Johnson hooking up for over 75 yards tomorrow as the Bills primary focus should be running the ball.
3. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller will run for 100 yards combined.
Bundt: True. My gut says no but my mind says yes. San Francisco is amazing at stopping the run but the Bills must get their running game going if they want to have any chance of beating the 49ers. They’ll try to establish it early and often.
Hess: False. San Francisco has only surrendered 100 yards combined on the ground one time this season, in their lone loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Buffalo will likely have to repeat that feat if they are to pull off the road upset, but I don’t see that happening in San Francisco against the most complete defense in the NFL.
Talbot: True. Besides Adrian Peterson, the 49ers have faced a bunch of nobodies or players who are no longer in their primes. Do Cedric Benson, Kevin Smith, or Shonn Greene really intimidate anyone. Spiller and Jackson are both legitimate rushers so the Bills will give the tandem 25-30 carries and they’ll go over 100 yards rushing together.
4. Ryan Fitzpatrick will throw at least two touchdowns.
Bundt: False. Fitzpatrick definitely has the ability to throw for multiple touchdowns but I don’t think he will on Sunday. This will be a medium scoring affair as opposed to the Bills contest vs. New England which was offense galore.
Hess: True. Sure San Francisco’s defense is ranked 5th in the NFL against the pass, but Fitzpatrick finds a way to get the ball to his receivers in the end zone regardless of the opponent. Against better defenses he does this at the expense of interceptions, which is the bigger worry for Buffalo given that the Niners are a +4 in turnover differential entering this game and the Bills sit at a -3.
Talbot: False. I have Fitzpatrick throwing one touchdown against the 49ers, no more.
5. The Bills will record two sacks.
Bundt: True. Despite not getting consistent pressure, the Bills are still on pace to crush their sack total from last year. If Kyle Williams and Marcel Dareus can get penetration inside, Buffalo will record at least two sacks on Sunday.
Hess: True. Alex Smith averages being sacked 3 times a game, and the Bills are averaging 2.5 sacks per game. With those odds the Bills seem on track for roughly 2-3 sacks. However when you factor in the “something to prove” mentality the defense is going to have coming off their embarrassing performance against New England I think Buffalo will get to Smith at least 4 or 5 times in this game.
Talbot: True. Alex Smith doesn’t throw many interceptions, but he does have a tendency to hold onto the ball a bit too long at times. Look for the Bills to sack the 49ers QB at least twice tomorrow.
There you have it. Come back next week for another edition of true or false!
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