Originally written November 24, 2012 on RotoAsk:
Continuing on with rivalry weekend, the (1-9) Chiefs welcome a surging (7-3) Denver Broncos squad to town in hopes of causing a major upset to the conference title hopes of Peyton Manning and company. If there was any doubt about the health of Manning, they have been put together but his season to date. Manning has returned to MVP form, and has his Broncos playing superbowl caliber football. Peyton has always been an offensive guru, and beats you with his brain as well as his arm. He has turned some average pieces into house hold names and hall of famers in his days with the Colts. Now with the Broncos, he has legitimate receivers in Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker. This tandem has combined for 108 catches – 1500 yards – and 13 TDs and they are next to impossible to defend when Manning carves up a defense. The Chiefs haven’t been playing well on either side of the ball giving up 28 points a game. Their strength has been in the passing game, ranking near the top in that category in yards allowed (214/game). They have been killed in the running game though, allowing 130/game. Fortunately for the Chiefs, the Broncos will be without their top running back Willis McGahee who is out for 6-8 weeks with an MCL tear, and will be replaced by Ronnie Hillman, Knowshon Moreno, and Lance Ball who have combined for 297 yards and two TDs on 82 carries this season. Look for Peyton to leverage his running game into the play action pass, which has been his bread and butter since coming into the league. Manning understands a defense better than any other quarterback, not named Tom Brady, and will be his usual efficient self on Sunday against the lowly Chiefs. The Chiefs, losers of all five home games, were far from perfect last weekend, converting only one third down and totaling just 284 yards of offense. This is why coach Romeo Crennel will be turning back to Brady Quinn to lead his team this Sunday. It hasn’t mattered who has been the signal caller on Sunday’s this year, the Chiefs have only mustered 198 passing yards per game, ranking 28th in the league. Their lone bright spot has been running back Jamaal Charles who has put up large number on the ground this year, putting up 821 yards on the ground. Hello Brady Quinn, this is Von Miller – Your Worst Nightmare To the say that the Chiefs are one dimensional is an under statement. Even with star receiver Dwayne Bowe healthy, they cannot get him the ball due to poor quarterback play. If Denver and Von Miller can shut down Charles, and Quinn has to pass on every play, it’s going to be a very long day for the Chiefs. The Broncos defense is one of the best in football, and a luxury for Peyton Manning. It means that Manning doesn’t have to force throws and take chances, because he knows his defense is capable of making stops and forcing turnovers. This is something that Peyton is slowly figuring out, and very different from his days in Indianapolis where he had to out score teams, because his defense could only play with a lead. The Broncos average 91 yards allowed on the ground, and 312 yards/game total and that ranks in the top 10 in the league. Look for this trend to continue on the road this weekend as Von Miller, Elvis Dumervile and company make life miserable for Quinn and the Chiefs. Easy game to call – Broncos win in a rout! Fantasy Stars – Peyton Manning, Demayius Thomas, Eric Decker Sleeper – Ronnie Hillman/Lance Ball (Goal line) Stay Away – Brady Quinn, Dwayne Bowe
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