Originally posted on Pro Sports Daily  |  Last updated 11/12/12
Miami at Buffalo Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, at Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, N.Y. - TV: NFL Network *TV announcers: Brad Nessler, Mike Mayock, Alex Flanagan *Keys to the game: The Dolphins roll into Buffalo with light artillery, knowing from their Week 10 experience that turnovers almost assuredly equate to losses as in the 37-3 unraveling against the Titans. Miami's playoff chances aren't yet lost. QB Ryan Tannehill went 107 attempts without an interception before tossing three last week. Getting him comfortable after a rare two days of usual preparation won't be easy. Reggie Bush was benched in the first half last week and admittedly needs to be better. The Bills have the kind of running game that can get the Dolphins flying to the line. C.J. Spiller is averaging 7.3 yards per carry and 10.6 yards per catch, and Fred Jackson, if he's ready to go on a short week after taking a shot to the head and neck on the final drive Sunday, is less of a flash but a similar dual threat. With safeties tending to that pair, the Bills usually find a matchup they like on the outside or QB Ryan Fitzpatrick looks to 6-7 TE Scott Chandler. *Matchup to watch - Bush vs. Bills defense: The Bills are giving up 163.7 rushing yards per game and Bush is eager to get back on the field after an effort against Tennessee that prompted a public apology. He set a career high with 203 rushing yards last season at Buffalo. *Player spotlight - Bills WR Donald Jones: Before he was injured on what could have been a game-changing catch on the Bills' final drive last week, Jones' emergence as a consistent second receiver was apparent. He has 16 catches and two touchdowns in the past three games and is expected to play this week. *Fast facts: Fitzpatrick had five interceptions and was sacked five times in two meetings in 2011. ... Dolphins DE Cam Wake has 8.5 sacks in his past five games. WHO WILL WIN AND WHY The Bills might be shorthanded on a short week but still have the advantage of not having to travel before a game on three days' rest. Their ability to run the ball and control the clock more efficiently proves the difference. *Our pick: Bills 28-22
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