Falcons 09-10 Reasonable Expectations (G)

The Edmonton Oilers drafted in the top 15 "window" exactly 5 times during the Kevin Prendergast era. I count his era as being 2001-07, with Barry Fraser owning the scouting director title 1979-2000 and Stu MacGregor took over in time for the 2008 (Eberle) draft. Those 5 picks delivered zircon (Niinimaki) and diamonds (Hemsky) with three men (Gagner, Plante and Dubnyk) who haven't established their level yet. Gagner is known to us and should have at least an NHL career but we'll need him to be better than that in order to cover the bet. Plante's story has had some rocky moments but appears back on track.Then there is Dubnyk. Chosen 14th overall in 2004, he is one of three first rounders from that season who have not yet played in the National Hockey League. Dubnyk's progress is difficult to measure because the tools we use (SP) have been skewed by outside influences (the gross number of 5-on-3's dating back to junior, extremely inexperienced blue) but if...