LATEST STORIES FROM CHEAP SEAT ANALYTICS

NFL Week 15 Daily Fantasy Preview

Good morning and welcome to the week 15 Daily Fantasy preview. This was my reaction to having a losing week in week 13 https://v.cdn.vine.co/r/videos/EEB2CB6FDA1128580411405336576_297c45d9615.2.1.3567811200340819480.mp4 (Source: ESPN.go.com) Well last week was certainly a roller coaster week once again. I went into MNF guaranteed even money with Jordy Matt Ryan and Julio Jones...
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5 days ago  |  Discuss

NFL Week 15 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS :  57-46  (+9.1u) Week 14: 3-3  (official picks on Twitter)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I had another pushed week last week. I reached a bit on the Chargers-Patriots game on Sunday night after going 3-2 in the early games but that line was looking good for most of the game. The Dolphins massively...
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6 days ago  |  Discuss

NFL Week 14 Daily Fantasy Preview

Good morning and welcome to the week 14 preview. Photo Credit: http://www.cbssports.com We can’t win em all. Last week I posted the first losing week going 2-4 since starting this, bringing the record to 27-8 ATP, 77% (my new acronym for Against The Public, it’ll catch on I swear). The teams were borderline about to cash and damn Andre Ellington left with an injury putting...
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12 days ago  |  Discuss

NFL Week 14 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS :  54-43  (+9.4u) Week 13: 2-2  (official picks on Twitter)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   Sorry to all that look forward to the write-ups as I was traveling for the holidays last weekend and wasn’t able to come up with something with the short week. It was also a light betting week for me. I...
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15 days ago  |  Discuss

Week 13 NFL Daily Fantasy Preview

“You pay a high price for a cheery consensus.” -Warren Buffett Photo Credit: http://www.smh.com.au/ What a roller coaster last week was as we cashed a $27,000 ticket on Sunday, and almost cashed another $10,000+ on Thursday. Damn you Doug Baldin… For those who are new to the article we placed 1/460,000 on Sunday, came back on Thursday going into the night game leading...
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19 days ago  |  Discuss

Visualized: How the South Came to Dominate College Football

With the creation of the College Football Playoff, and the Selection Committee responsible for determining the four playoff teams, claims of SEC bias have perpetuated. Whether or not these claims are true is immaterial to the fact that college football has become dominated by the south, with some flourishing pockets in the midwest.   The New York Times recently used Facebook like...
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25 days ago  |  Discuss

Week 12 Daily Fantasy NFL Preview

Thursday Night Football, “And for that reason, I’m out.” –Mark Cuban If you read the article last week, you are likely reading this one because we cashed just about everything. Last week I brought up how the spread and totals can impact some of our decisions. I had one friend suggest Derek Carr vs. The Chargers as he was reasonably inexpensive and looking to be a semi decent...
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26 days ago  |  Discuss

NFL Week 12 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS :  48-38  (+8.9u) Week 10: 3-3  (official picks on Twitter) System Picks Overall ATS: 37-33 (+0.7u) System Picks Overall SU: 47-23 (67.1%)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I’m not going to dwell on last week. I wasn’t particularly fond of the card and didn’t reach too much out of my comfort...
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28 days ago  |  Discuss

Visualized: Melvin Gordon’s Run to History

This past weekend Melvin Gordon ran his way into college football history running for 408 yards against Nebraska in only three quarters to become the Division 1 (I refuse to call it FBS) single game record holder. Gordon has a realistic shot at Barry Sanders’ record of 2,628 yards (in only 11 games) or 2,850 yards depending on how you feel about counting bowl game statistics. I’ll...
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November 18, 2014  |  Discuss

Week 11 NFL Daily Fantasy

Diversification, Diversification, Diversification, Diworsification. “Diversification is for idiots” – Mark Cuban I’ll explain this like a Tarantino movie where we go back and I tell you what I did after it happened. It is important to create a few lineups that you like so that one player doesn’t put an end to your week. If you followed the ideal lineup last week, you would...
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November 16, 2014  |  Discuss

Nick Foles and Quarterback Regression

Nick Foles had the Philadelphia Eagles on fire last year. They implemented their new uptempo offense, acquired ten wins, won the NFC East, and hosted a playoff game. Among all of this, Foles threw twenty-seven touchdown passes to only two interceptions while going 8-2 in his ten starts at quarterback. Some were screaming about a rising young star. Others were quietly explaining...
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November 14, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 11 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS :  45-35  (+9.2u) Week 10: 3-5  (official picks on Twitter) System Picks Overall ATS (started Week 7): 30-26 (+1.4u) System Picks Overall SU: 39-17 (69.6%)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   It’s hard for me to fathom what happened last week. It was a rough one but probably not the last rough one...
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November 13, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 10 Daily Fantasy Preview

Welcome to our week 10 NFL daily lineup preview where I will break down this weekend’s match-ups and hopefully unlock some value for this weekend. How my process works: I begin my week with market research and handicapping football games. It will be hard pressed to find value players on a team that is getting blown/shutout/playing below expectations. Understanding the over-valued...
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November 08, 2014  |  Discuss

Visualized: Mark McGwire and the 500 Club

Today I came across a mind boggling statistic; Mark McGwire is the only member of the 26 person 500 club with less than 2,000 hits. McGwire’s 1,626 hits are 460 less than the next closest player Harmon Killebrew. McGwire only played 16 seasons which is the lowest of the retired members of the 500 club. However, Albert Pujols just wrapped up his 14th season with 2,519 hits. McGwire’s...
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November 06, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 10 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS : 42-30 (+11.6u) Week 9: 4-4  (official picks on Twitter) System Picks Overall ATS (started Week 7):  25-18 (+5.2u) System Picks Overall SU: 30-13 (69.8%)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I had some mixed emotions about last week going in and made some last minute plays on Sunday that didn’t...
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November 06, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 9 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS : 38-26 (+11.5u) Week 8: 5-2  (official picks on Twitter) System Picks Overall ATS (started Week 7):  19-11 (+6.9u) System Picks Last Week: 12-3 (+8.7u)   **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   Last week was a good week. I was able to recoup all the units lost from a bad Week 6 and then some since. I made...
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October 29, 2014  |  Discuss

Just How Good Was Ben Roethlisberger on Sunday?

To answer this question I went to Pro-Football Reference and looked at all 16 games in NFL history where a quarterback threw for over 500 yards. Goint through all the numbers (which you can see below) only makes  Big Ben’s performance even more impressive. His 81.6% completion rate is significantly higher than anyone else’s. More impressively though are his 6 touchdowns compared...
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October 28, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 8 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS : 33-24 (+7.8u) Week 6: 4-3  (official picks on Twitter) **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I missed last week’s write-up as I was trying to get some NHL things together and traveling throughout the end of the week. If you didn’t notice, my NFL System Picks are up and should get stronger as the weeks...
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October 23, 2014  |  Discuss

NHL Overachievers and Underachievers

The other day Frank kicked off our new NHL analytics coverage with a primer. Today I will provide a visualization using his numbers to look back at the over and underachievers of the 2013-14 NHL season. The graph below plots each teams regular season xW% (expected winning percentage) vs its W% (actual winning percentage). The black best fit line represents an equal xW% and W% teams...
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October 22, 2014  |  Discuss

Hockey Analytics Primer

This season CSA will be diving into some uncharted waters in hockey analytics, not only for ourselves but for the general public. The push for baseball analytics has sparked a revolution among other sports to use data to find market inefficiencies for players and approaches that can get a leg up on competition. For the NHL, there have been a small number of folks that have contributed...
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October 20, 2014  |  Discuss

The 2015 AL Central Winners: Cleveland Indians

I’m getting a little jumpy here, but I’m excited for Cleveland Indians fans for next year. After making the wildcard play-in game last year, the Indians had a a small letdown this year. A good thing that did come out of the 2014 season is the Indians look poised to win the AL Central next year. The Tigers will obviously be the favorites coming into the season, but I would push...
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October 10, 2014  |  Discuss

Pirates Offseason Notes and Potential Non-Tender Candidates

The first natural reaction to the end of every Pittsburgh Pirates season always seems to be, “Ahh these guys are going to suck next year.” Yeah, it’s true the Pirates don’t have a ton of flashy players outside of Starling Marte and Andrew McCutchen but they are still a very good team. I remind you that they’ve gotten tons of production and value out of guys like Harrison...
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October 10, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 6 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS : 27-15 (+11.6u) Week 5: 6-4  (official picks on Twitter) **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I had another profitable week in Week 5 going 6-4 after jumping on the Patriots and Redskins in the prime-time games. I started 5-1 in the early games and had a real chance to finish 6-2 before Drew Stanton was injured...
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October 08, 2014  |  Discuss

Pittsburgh Pirates Offseason Preview

This was the ultimate year of ups and downs for the Pittsburgh Pirates. They started so poorly in April with nearly every hitter struggling. Their offense all hit their positive regression at the same time and clicked through the rest of the months. Gregory Polanco provided a huge spark to the lineup until the league caught up with him, identifying some holes in his swing that he’ll...
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October 05, 2014  |  Discuss

NFL Week 5 Picks and Predictions

2014 NFL ATS : 21-11 (+9.7u) Week 4: 6-3  (official picks on Twitter) **These picks are subject to change. Follow me on Twitter for the most up to date analysis.**   I ended up having a pretty good Week 4. I flipped on the Bears/Packers game and it happened to work out for once. I flipped from Bears to Packers becuase of Aaron Rodgers’ press conference where he spelled out...
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October 02, 2014  |  Discuss
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