LATEST STORIES FROM FANGRAPHS

How the Chicago Cubs are swinging

We’ve been through this about the Blue Jays — a promising team suddenly added both Troy Tulowitzki and David Price, and since then, the Jays have taken off. Since the day Tulowitzki first appeared in a Toronto lineup, the team has gone a league-best 21-4, storming into first place and showing few signs of slowing down. Right now, in the American League, the Blue Jays are probably...
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8 hours ago  |  Discuss

Dallas Keuchel Contract Extension Could Prove Difficult

Dallas Keuchel’s continued progress into an ace is one of the major reasons Houston is contending earlier than anyone predicted. After a good year in 2014, he is a Cy Young candidate and perhaps front-runner for the first place Houston Astros. The right-hander recently expressed interest in a contract extension, and Houston Astros general manager Jeff Luhnow provided a stock response...
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11 hours ago  |  Discuss

Let’s Talk About Jabari Blash

Of the 338 Triple-A hitters who have recorded at least 200 plate appearances this season, only two have an isolated-power (ISO) mark north of .300. The first is Richie Shaffer, an interesting Rays prospect who spent some time in the big leagues this season. The second is a player by the name of Jabari Blash. No, that’s not a character from Harry Potter, or even an Edith Wharton...
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12 hours ago  |  Discuss

On the inequity of the 2015 NL Wild Card Game

The Wild Card races in the American and National Leagues could hardly be more different. Over in the AL, only four teams are playing at a level that would normally make them contenders, but the rules require that a fifth team qualify for the postseason, so one team from a remarkably mediocre group is going to get rewarded with a playoff spot even though they may end the year with...
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12 hours ago  |  Discuss

Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 8/27/15

Live Blog Eno Sarris Baseball Chat
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13 hours ago  |  Discuss

So You Want an Edge Against Mike Trout

Like a lot of people, Wednesday evening I was watching Justin Verlander try his damnedest to no-hit the Angels. I was tuning in because of the pitcher, but in the seventh inning, I found myself thinking about the hitter. It was in the top of the seventh that Verlander faced Mike Trout for what would be the last time, and I was reminded of something Sam Miller pointed out a couple...
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14 hours ago  |  Discuss

Comparing the win distribution between the Leagues

Wins across the National League and American League aren’t distributed equally. Looking at both current wins and our projected expected wins, the NL has more teams at the extreme ends of the wins spectrum, while the AL is more tightly grouped. The shape of the win distribution is useful because it can create a picture of the league. The AL has 20 more interleague wins than the...
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14 hours ago  |  Discuss

NERD Game Scores for Thursday, August 27, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here. *...
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15 hours ago  |  Discuss

The return of a different Adrian Gonzalez

By Jeff Sullivan I find that writing goes in phases, and they can be unpredictable. I don’t know when it’s going to be a good writing week. I don’t know when it’s going to be a bad writing week. And I don’t know what I’m next going to find interesting. For example, I feel like I spent a good year or two zoning in on pitch-framing, which I thought was just the coolest...
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16 hours ago  |  Discuss

The most promising thing about Polanco right now

The funny thing is, Andrew McCutchen and Starling Marte are so good the Pirates would be in the conversation for baseball’s best outfield no matter who the third guy was. But more often than not, the third guy has been Gregory Polanco, and Polanco came with enormous hype. He’s had his good days and bad days, his good moods and bad moods, but these days Polanco’s on a tear....
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Astros Power Arm Martes Emerges as Top Prospect

Astros right hander Francis Martes started the year in extended spring training and Kiley McDaniel had him graded as a 35+ FV. Martes was one of the lesser pieces in the big Jarred Cosart/Colin Moran trade and he was in Rookie-level ball at the time of the trade. From last year to early in 2015, Martes’ velocity jumped, his breaking ball jumped from fringy to at least plus, all...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Is Taylor Jungmann for Real?

Every year, a number of starting pitchers seemingly come out of nowhere to become significant contributors at the major-league level. Sometimes, as in the case of, say, Jacob deGrom, the sudden evolution at the major-league level is real and sustainable. In the case of the majority of these short-term success stories, the league adjusts, the pitcher is unable to, and either disappears...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

JABO: The Diamondbacks’ Hidden Star

A few months ago, someone asked me who the most underrated player in baseball was, and after kicking around a few names, I settled on Arizona outfielder A.J. Pollock. Pollock got to the big leagues as a speed-and-defense center fielder who hit well enough to justify a regular gig, and then had his breakout year derailed last season when Johnny Cueto hit him in the hand with a fastball...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat – 8/26/15

Live Blog Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

What makes Bruce Bochy and Joe Maddon great?

With the Cubs in San Francisco to face the team just behind them in the wild-card race, it makes sense to compare the two managers. After all, they both ended up within the top five in a recent ESPN.com survey, and their teams have both found success in recent years. Though they were born just a year apart, their styles are different enough that they seem to be a study in contrasts...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

NERD Game Scores for Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here. *...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

What if Justin Verlander figured it out?

A little over a month ago, Dave ran through his annual trade value rankings, and as he likes to do, after all the good bits, he wrote up the bad bit, addressing the game’s least-valuable players. Ranking third on his list was fallen Tigers ace Justin Verlander, whose contract is steady even when the pitching isn’t. Verlander ranked worse than Matt Kemp. Worse than Shin-Soo Choo...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Relives Saberseminar ’15

Episode 589 Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) the guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio, during which edition he discusses this past weekend’s Saberseminar in Boston, the quality and quantity of Statcast data, and one of Curt Schilling’s less horrifying — but also recent — comments. This edition of the program is sponsored by...
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1 day ago  |  Discuss

FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 8/25/15

Live Blog FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 8/25/15
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

A Home Run That Must Be Discussed

A week and a half ago, there was a remarkable home run, which I like. I’m drawn to those kinds of things, and I almost can’t help myself but write about them. I was floored by the home run itself; it was one of the most obvious subjects ever provided to me. The only problem was then I didn’t write for a week. The moment passed. Usually, these things have to be written right...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

The Year BaseRuns Failed

Around here, you know that we spend a lot of time working with metrics that attempt to strip noise out of results. Often times, we’re less concerned with what has happened and more concerned with what is going to happen, and these component metrics often do a better job of isolating either a player or a team’s overall contribution to the results, while removing some of the factors...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

Struggling Nationals call on Trea Turner

It’s no secret that the Washington Nationals have fallen short of expectations this season. At 62-61, the unanimous NL East favorites from the preseason sit 5.5 games behind the Mets with a discouraging 19% chance of winning the NL East. Things have been particularly ugly of late, as the Nats have won just 11 of their last 30 games. As Dave Cameron pointed out last week, several...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

Kiley McDaniel Prospects Chat – 8/25/15

Live Blog Kiley McDaniel Prospects Chat – 8/25/15
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

NERD Game Scores for Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here. *...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss

Taylor Jungmann and Diminishing Marginal Utility

When faced with batters on base, Milwaukee Brewers righty Taylor Jungmann goes to his sinker more and throws lower in the zone. He hasn’t given up a home run on the sinker, and the pitch produces ground balls nearly three-quarters of the time. So why doesn’t Jungmann go to the sinker more often? “What makes the sinker better is that I don’t throw it as much,” Jungmann...
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2 days ago  |  Discuss
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