Avs season preview: Part IV - 'Other'

This could be a doozy, so we'll jump right in, because there's a lot I want to cover. Most of the regression talk with the Avs comes in three forms: Goaltending/sv%, Corsi/Fenwick, and Shooting %. There's a couple more areas I don't thik have gotten a lot of ink, so I'm going to talk about them, but I'll start with Shooting %: Shooting %: Shooting % is a stat that really goes...
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September 25, 2014  |  Discuss

Avs season preview: Part III - Defense

Key Additions: Brad Stuart, Zach Redmond Key Subtractions: Andre Benoit, Corey Sarich The defense is actually a place where I think the Avs improved over a season ago, the problem is, it's a slight improvement and not nearly enough for a team with a defense that is, legitimately, thought of as one of the weakest in the league. Let's throw some Zone Exit data out there, curtesy...
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September 25, 2014  |  Discuss

Avs season preview: Part II - Forwards

Part I was Goalies. This is part II - Forwards  Key Additions -  Jarome Iginla, Danny Briere, Jesse Winchester, Ben Street Key Subtractions - Paul Stastny, PA Parenteau, MA Cliche Let's start the position players with the elephant in the room: The Avs Corsi-tied last season was 22nd in the league. Their Fenwick-tied was 23rd. That's not good, and while it's possible to overcome...
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September 15, 2014  |  Discuss

Avs season preview: Part I - Goalies

I've been insanely pessimistic about the Avs season all summer, and I have only revealed the source of my pessimism in bits and pieces over twitter. So I figured I needed to give a comprehensive guide to why I don't think the Avs are going to be very good this season: (and why I'm going to enjoy the season anyways). This is intended to be a 5 part series, but it could balloon to...
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September 15, 2014  |  Discuss

The Unreliable Eye Test

Those who argue with Advanced stats usually do so because of the eye test. The general vibe given off in these conversations is that a trained eye is better at evaluation because it can pick up nuance that numbers don't capture.   Here's why I find "the eye test" extremely unreliable, in ove video about a card trick:    
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May 23, 2014  |  Discuss


I've seen people, not just Wild fans, use this picture to say the play leading to the game 5 tieing goal should have been be offsides:     Just for clarification, let's check the NHL rulebook for what constitutes offsides: (emphasis mine) The position of the player’s skates and not that of his stick shall be the determining factor in all instances in deciding an off-side...
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April 27, 2014  |  Discuss

Why I wouldn't vote for Roy for the Adams

This is a pretty contraversial opinion in Avs land, so I better have a pretty good reason and logic to back it up. And I do.  First of all, It's important to note how important Puck Possession (measured with either Corsi or Fenwick) is to a team's success. I don't want to go into a long schpiel on it, but Eric T, one of the best analytics minds in hockey right now, has it somewhere...
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March 11, 2014  |  Discuss

Review of Break Away ice hockey themed slots game

As ice hockey is unquestionably one of the sports with a really big following in both the U.S. and Canada, it really seems surprising that there have not been a greater number of themed casino slot games based on it. The development of Break Away by the very successful Microgaming could well see that change though, as this five reel example of the form is the first such game to be...
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February 17, 2014  |  Discuss

Argumentum ad Antiquitatem

When the injured Jan Hejda was replaced on the top pair with Nate Guenin I was initially boggled at how very smart hockey people, such as Patrick Roy and his staff, can be so wrong about a player or players as he continues to undervalue the contributions of Tyson Barrie. I was listening to my favorite podcast on the internet, You are not so Smart, when the host talked about Argumentum...
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December 07, 2013  |  Discuss
Jibblescribbits is a Colorado Avalanche blog that specializes in Numerical Analysis, Rational Opinion, Irrational Opinion, and Snark. Occasional I apply those same characteristics to the NHL at large. I've been blogging since Feb '07, and an Avs fan since '95.
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