Knicks fans are on the edge of their seats — tonight is a do-or-die contest, with Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals feeling like a Game 7.
If the Indiana Pacers secure a third win, placing them 3-1 in the 2025 Eastern Conference Finals, the chances of the New York Knicks returning to win the series are an abysmal 4.4%. NBA playoff teams facing a 3–1 series deficit have returned and won the series only 13 times out of 296 instances in NBA history.
If the series is tied 2-2, the winner of Game 5 has an 82% chance of winning the series. For the Knicks to assume the mantel and advance to the 2025 NBA Finals, they will need nothing short of a miracle to win Game 4 and spark a playoff series-winning streak.
The Pacers are -2.5 point favorites, and even as a slim favorite, Knicks fans are uneasy and unsure of another win in Indiana.
To watch the New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals, you'll need access to TNT or truTV.
Odds | New York Knicks | Indiana Pacers |
Moneyline | +115 | -134 |
Point Spread | +2.5 (-110) | -2.5 (-110) |
Over/Under | 220.5 |
If you've been watching the Knicks struggle, including blowing a 14-point lead with under 3 minutes in Game 1, you'll know why the No. 3 seed is the underdog in this bout. The Knicks are suffering from downtown and cannot convert high-value scoring attempts. NYK's disastrous turnovers further highlight their inaccuracies.
The Pacers are highly efficient scorers, making critical shots, and receiving valuable help from bench players Obi Toppin and T.J. McConnell. Meanwhile, the Knicks' bench has continuously failed to wake up, play defense, and score when it matters.
Key Stat | New York Knicks | Indiana Pacers |
PPG | 108.8 | 117.6 |
REB | 42.5 | 40.3 |
FG % | 45.1 % | 49.9 % |
FT % | 76.3 % | 78.7 % |
3-Point % | 35.3 % | 39.6 % |
While the Indiana Pacers are 2.5-point favorites for Game 4 tonight, don't trust the odds. The New York Knicks will play as if it's the last game of their season.
They know the statistics as well as we do: The Knicks have to win, or they might as well pack it up and call it a day. The Knicks can't risk the series going 3-1 in the Pacers' favor. We might have a chance if Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns showcase career performances.