2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Top 20 Closers

I hate closers. Okay, that’s a little extreme, but I hate saves. The problem with saves is that they are almost completely dependent on what a team does and not what the individual does. So, forecasting closers is a bit myopic. I refuse to give into the game of forecasting saves. It depends on the quality of the team, whether they will play in a lot of close games, and the quality...
Via The Fantasy Fix
6 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 1-20

We have reached the moment where we have finally gotten to the best starting pitchers on the market. It shouldn’t be any surprise that most of these guys are clumped on teams that are destined to be there in October. The old adage goes that great pitching beats great hitting. Many of these players will be the same as the previous list this offseason, but more players have gone off...
Via The Fantasy Fix
7 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Throwing Darts Late In Your Draft, Part II

As promised, part 2 of the last round draft dart throws features outfielders and pitching. Remembering the criteria for inclusion; they must have an Average Draft Position of 300+ across ESPN, CBS and Yahoo). So, without further ado, let’s get into it. Outfielders Nick Williams (ESPN N/a – CBS 318 – Yahoo – 344) Williams’ minor league career translates to a .280 hitter with 20 home...
Via The Fantasy Fix
8 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: March Market Wrap-up

There have been a ton of theories that could could explain the realitive inactivity of the offseason. We have seen more significant deals in March than at any time in history. Personally, I tend to believe it has more to do with a market correction than anything else. Sure, there are always other factors and the MLBPA is certainly entitled to question the motives of some franchises...
Via The Fantasy Fix
9 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Throwing Darts Late In Your Draft, Part I

Draft season is in full swing and there’s some meaningful data coming out of the early drafts now, specifically players ADP (Average Draft Position). Every site is different, every draft is different. But one thing always rings true, we want late round value. Looking at the ADP from ESPN, CBS and Yahoo, we’ve got player(s) from each position who are currently predominately undrafted...
Via The Fantasy Fix
9 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 21-40

As we move through the starting pitchers we begin to see some separation. These rankings are based on PECOTA’s 2018 projections. At best, these rankings should be taken in concern with the previous rankings that were based on past performance. When these two rankings are taken in concert then they take a lot more sense. In this article, we will be looking at the PECOTA projections...
Via The Fantasy Fix
9 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Starting Pitchers 41-60

We’ve gone through just about every position with our reboot of the rankings. PECOTA does pretty well with position player projections, but pitching is a more challenging group. There are so many moving parts that are beyond the pitcher’s control. We still have a few free agents left. Making predictions for them when they don’t have a team of fielders or home ballpark seems like...
Via The Fantasy Fix
12 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Drafting Miguel Cabrera

I’ve finished my rankings and just doing the usual finessing which occurs during Spring Training every year. You know, when Brent Honeywell’s season is over before it begins and you bump up another starting pitcher. Then continue to change things every day when someone else gets injured. That sort of finessing. When it occurred to me: I have no idea if I’m too high or too low on...
Via The Fantasy Fix
13 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part III

We have finally reached the end of our reboot on the rankings. One of the things you will notice about outfielders is that there is not a ton of separation between them. This is where we reach our concept of value. Some of these players might be better offensive players than their infield counterparts, but they become fourth and fifth fantasy outfielders. This happens because their...
Via The Fantasy Fix
13 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part II

In that last edition we took a look at the top 20 fantasy outfielders according to the PECOTA projections. Naturally, when we start looking at 21-40 we start seeing far less separation. So, sometimes we have to apply our own instincts and we must define our terms. We are looking primarily at six category formats. That includes walks. Of course, guys who walk a lot also tend to support...
Via The Fantasy Fix
15 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projections– Outfielders Part One

The rankings took a beating as they always seem to do. If there is anything universal, it is our need to trash others rankings. I’m happy to play along. The previous rankings were based primarily on past performance and not projections. So, we will reboot the rankings here based primarily on PECOTA projections at Baseball Prospectus. Before, we separated outfielders according to...
Via The Fantasy Fix
16 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Position PECOTA Projections– Third Basemen

The beginning of Spring Training is always a good opportunity to reboot the rankings at each position. Drafts are coming up next month and the rankings earlier in the offseason were based on players before they moved to new teams and on past performance. Baseball Prospectus has released their PECOTA projections and we will use that to gauge each player’s value based on future projections...
Via The Fantasy Fix
20 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Position PECOTA Projections– Shortstops

Spring Training games are in the books. When that happens it is usually high time to reboot the rankings at every position. Players have changed uniforms later this offseason than most and the first round of rankings took a beating. They always do because they are usually based on past performance. This time, they are based primarily on Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projections. We...
Via The Fantasy Fix
23 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projection Rankings– Second Basemen

Baseball Prospectus’s PECOTA projections always come at a time of year where it is a good idea to reboot the rankings. The first round of rankings are based largely on past performance in the various formats. Past performance can be valuable, but sometimes it is inappropriate for the future. So, we use these PECOTA projections to reboot each position. We are including the six main...
Via The Fantasy Fix
23 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: PECOTA Projection Rankings– First Basemen

We usually reboot the rankings every year when the Baseball Prospectus Annual comes out. It’s a good time for any number of reasons. For one, player movement usually has begun to slow down (this year being a notable exception). Secondly, it allows us to shift our thinking from what has happened in the past to what might happen in the future. In many respects, this has come back to...
Via The Fantasy Fix
27 days ago

2018 Fantasy Baseball: Boston Red Sox Sign J.D. Martinez

The number one position player available on the offseason market just went off the board. It may have come a little late, but it was little surprise when the Red Sox agreed to sign J.D. Martinez for five years and 110 million dollars. Scott Boras has been in a staring match with the Red Sox for most of the offseason. The final contract indicates both gave a little from the original...
Via The Fantasy Fix
28 days ago
MLB News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Yardbarker Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.

The 'Catch me if you can (understand the catch rule)' quiz

Brad Marchand has the Bruins rolling, whether you like it or not

2018 first-round NFL Mock Draft (March 20, 2018 edition)

Ranking all 30 MLB lineups heading into 2018

The 'Not your average Joe' quiz

There is no more waiting around for a QB in the NFL Draft

The 'How sweet it is!' quiz

Winners & losers from the NCAA Tournament's opening rounds

Sports & Politics Intersect: Presidential sports coverage from coast-to-coast

The 'Braves new world' quiz

For Publishers
Company Info
Follow Yardbarker