The eight MLB Home Run Derby participants have been announced, and the heavy hitters are ready to battle for the crown Monday night. MLB expert Jason Radowitz ranks the contenders and breaks down the 2022 MLB Home Run Derby odds.
When: Monday, July 18, 2022
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
Where To Watch: ESPN, ESPN+
Click Here for Complete HR Derby Odds
On Monday, we'll have eight sluggers compete in the 2022 Home Run Derby in Dodger Stadium. The Home Run Derby is in a bracket format, so even if you have the second-best production out of eight contestants, it doesn't mean you're going to move on into the next round. Seedings are also based on how many home runs you've hit this season. Let's break down the 2022 MLB Home Run Derby Odds and rank each slugger based on their chances to win the Home Run Derby.
Odds | Derby Participant |
---|---|
+185 | Pete Alonso |
+300 | Kyle Schwarber |
+500 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
+650 | Juan Soto |
+1000 | Corey Seager |
+1000 | Julio Rodriguez |
+1500 | Jose Ramirez |
+2300 | Albert Pujols |
Click Here for Complete HR Derby Odds
Kyle Schwarber will take on eighth-seeded Albert Pujols in the first round of the bracket. Schwarber has 28 home runs on the season and finished runner-up in 2018 against now-teammate Bryce Harper.
Schwarber admitted he went kind of crazy early and then slowed down late that time around. He will make adjustments and be dangerous in this year's derby.
Pete Alonso has won two straight Home Run Derbys and will look to win his third straight this season. Alonso will have Dave Jauss throwing him the ball again and obviously take the derby very seriously. He's the favorite to win the Derby again this season. If you're looking to put money down, you can be confident that Alonso will give it his all in this Derby again.
Corey Seager gets to hit bombs in Dodger Stadium again. That's kind of cool. At +1000, he'll take on Julio Rodriguez in the first round of the Derby. Rodriguez is also +1000, which means that one +1000 hitter will be in the second round.
I'd absolutely take the veteran over the rookie. At +1000 odds, there's a lot of potential here.
Juan Soto is the third favorite in the Derby this season. He was involved in the Derby last year and hit a 520-foot bomb. Still, Alonso knocked him out in the second round of the tournament.
The same thing will likely happen in the second round this year. I like Soto to beat Jose Ramirez in the first round but eventually cool off in the second round. But Soto is now considered a veteran in the Derby. That's valuable.
Ramirez isn't getting much love at +1500. Ramirez's power surge has cooled off in the last month of baseball, but I don't think that will have an effect on his derby potential. He's got a tough matchup against Juan Soto, but still don't think he should be +1500 near Albert Pujols. Ramirez can pull off the upset here, and while it's not likely, there's still value at +1500 for the slugger.
We always hear about how rookies in the Derby struggle to keep pace. Rodriguez has all the tools but could burn out and might not know the proper way to prepare for these types of things. Nonetheless, it'll be fun to watch Rodriguez perform, but I think he'll lose to Seager in the first round.
Ronald Acuna is +500 to win the Home Run Derby but will have to take on Pete Alonso in the tournament's first round. If Alonso is the favorite, it likely means that Acuna is going to have his hands full in round one. It's weird that Acuna has the fourth-best odds to win this thing when he's going up against Alonso to start things off. I wouldn't be on Acuna here.
Albert Pujols is retiring after this season. The MLB thought it would be cool to add one of the best all-time sluggers into the Home Run Derby. And while it is cool and exciting, Pujols probably doesn't have the stamina to keep up with the rest of the field.
Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page
More must-reads:
Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:
Subscribe now!