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2024 MLS Cup: Where the final will be won or lost
LA Galaxy forward Gabriel Pec. Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

2024 MLS Cup: Where the final will be won or lost

The 2024 MLS Cup Final is set: the Los Angeles Galaxy will host the New York Red Bulls on Saturday, Dec. 7. The Galaxy is the winningest team in league history, with a record-setting five MLS Cups to its name, while the Red Bulls have never won the Cup and enter the match as the lowest-seeded team to ever qualify for the final.

But don't let the gulf between those stats fool you: this is a tight matchup of two wildly different franchises. The Galaxy is a relentless goalscoring team that's always moving forward, while the Red Bulls are one of the strongest defensive outfits in the league.

Here are the key areas where this MLS Cup final will be won or lost:

The addition — and subtraction — of key European stars

The fate of the Red Bulls lies in the hands (and feet) of attacking midfielder Emil Forsberg. The Swedish veteran arrived in New York this year and completely revamped the team's attack. He's not a game-changing individual talent like Inter Miami's Lionel Messi or a nose-for-goal striker like D.C. United's Christian Benteke, so his influence can be underplayed by fans and reporters alike, but make no mistake about it: the Red Bulls live and die by Forsberg's fitness.

The Red Bulls had a strong start to the 2024 season; they were considered one of the league's strongest packages until summer break. But that narrative went out the window when Forsberg hurt his leg in early June. The Red Bulls won just two of the nine games he missed and tumbled down the Eastern Conference standings. Forsberg's well-timed playoff return reinvigorated the Red Bulls and set them on a path to the MLS Cup.

While the Red Bulls benefit from their star's new-found fitness, the Galaxy may suffer from their star's untimely injury. Riqui Puig, the beating heart of the Galaxy midfield, suffered a season-ending ACL tear in the Western Conference final. (He still delivered a game-winning assist while playing on one leg.) We haven't seen much of the Galaxy without Puig — he missed just five games this season, of which the Galaxy won three, drew one and lost one — but the team's fate will rest on how it reacts to Puig's absence. Galaxy coach Greg Vanney will likely sub a grittier, more physical player like Marco Delgado or Diego Fagundez into Puig's place; whether that change will benefit the Galaxy or hurt it remains an open question.

The battle of the right wingers

Much has been made of the differences between the Red Bulls and the Galaxy, but the most fascinating tactical matchup of their MLS Cup final comes from a place where they're remarkably similar: the right wing. Both teams feature stellar right wingers whose goalscoring actions pushed them through the playoffs.

For the Red Bulls, that right winger is Belgian phenom Dante Vanzeir, whose two goals and two assists in four games mean he's contributed to 2/3 of the team's postseason goals. For the Galaxy, it's Brazilian prospect Gabriel Pec, who delivered a whopping three goals and three assists in the same period (and won MLS's coveted Newcomer of the Year award for his troubles). Both will be hungry to make their mark in the MLS Cup final.

A set-piece showdown

The Red Bulls are excellent at scoring from set pieces: four of their six postseason goals have come from them, including Andres Reyes's conference-winning header against Orlando. Coach Sandro Schwarz must've been thrilled to hear that his MLS Cup opponent would be the Galaxy because no team conceded more set-piece goals this year than it did: 15 in total throughout the regular season.

There's no question that the Red Bulls will look to exploit that weakness in the MLS Cup final. But there is a question about whether it remains a weakness for the Galaxy. The vast majority of its set-piece goal concessions happened in the season's opening weeks; in the summer and fall, the Galaxy defense has pulled itself together and looked far more composed. This final will be the ultimate test of the Galaxy's defensive growth: if it can pass, it will take home the Cup.

The Los Angeles Galaxy will host the New York Red Bulls in the MLS Cup final on Saturday, Dec. 7.

Alyssa Clang

Alyssa is a Boston-born Californian with a passion for global sport. She can yell about misplaced soccer passes in five languages and rattle off the turns of Silverstone in her sleep. You can find her dormant Twitter account at @alyssaclang, but honestly, you’re probably better off finding her here

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