Found October 10, 2013 on Baseball News Source:
The St. Louis Cardinals downed the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-1 Wednesday night. The biggest play of the game was third baseman David Freese hitting a two-run homer off of Pirates starter Gerrit Cole in the second inning to give St. Louis a 2-0 lead. The Cardinals win probability shot up to 74 percent after Freese’s blow. Anybody can tell you that Freese hit a big homerun. I want to hone in on the rarity of what he did. First of all, Gerrit Cole doesn’t surrender homeruns too often. In 117.1 innings, he surrendered just seven homeruns. On a per PA basis, just 1.5% of hitters take Cole deep. On a per contact basis, just 2.1% of batted balls left the yard off of Cole in 2013. Also, David Freese didn’t hit many homeruns in 2013, just nine to be exact. He homered on 1.7% of his plate appearances, and just 2.5% of his contact plays. Ok, homeruns are a rare occurrence for Cole and Freese. Let’s look at BrooksBaseball to delve deeper. Next, the count was 1-2. There aren’t too many homeruns hit when the pitcher is ahead, and even less when the pitcher is Gerrit Cole. Cole surrendered just two homeruns when the batter had two strikes against him. In both of those occasions, the count was 3-2. So Cole had never given up a homerun on a 1-2 count, or a 0-2 or 2-2 count for that matter. With pitchers ahead in the count, Freese hit .152/.163/.182 in 2013, with no homeruns. Furthermore, the pitch Freese hit out was a slider. Sliders are tough to hit. Cole has a devastating slider, and hitters whiffed at it nearly 20 percent of the time. When they did make contact, they didn’t fare very well. In fact, hitters had just a .233 BABIP when putting Cole’s slider into play, with just one extra-base hit. Like most hitters, Freese doesn’t hit sliders very well. In fact, over the course of his career, Freese has never hit a homerun on a two-strike slider. Of the 252 sliders Cole has thrown in his MLB career, Freese was the first player to send one of them out of the park. Of the 386 two-strike sliders Freese had previously seen, he had homered on exactly zero of them. Baseball, it’s pretty awesome. October baseball, it’s even more awesome.

MLB Game Picks - Wednesday: October 9, 2013

After yesterday's games, the Red Sox are in and the Tigers get to fight another day. The Tigers forced a Game 5 with a thrilling (and disputed) win over the Athletics. Yesterday, I speculated on whether Max Scherzer would start instead of Doug Fister. He did not. But Fister was decent and Scherzer did pitch after all and got the win in relief. After all, he got the run support...

David Freese hits big Game 5 home run, remains Mr. October (Video)

Your browser does not support iframes. David Freese, who played so well in the 2011 MLB playoffs that he inspired me to change the website name for a day, was at it again during Game 5 of the NLDS between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. Freese went deep off Pirates starter Gerrit Cole […]

Pirates tab Gerrit Cole, not A.J. Burnett, for Game 5

Behind Michael Wacha's gem, the St. Louis Cardinals were able to even the NLDS, sending the series to a deciding Game 5 against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Buccos will hope for similar success from a rookie of their own, as they have have decided to send Gerrit Cole to the mound over veteran right-hander A.J. Burnett in an effort to extend their first playoff birth in well...

Preview: Wainwright, Cole set to duel in Game 5

ST. LOUIS -- Heading into Game 5 of their NL division series against Pittsburgh, the Cardinals can take comfort in this: They're 7-1 the last three years when facing postseason elimination. Manager Mike Matheny said poise comes from a mind-set of sticking to routine that is established during spring training. "We saw it in Pittsburgh, and I anticipate seeing it tomorrow...

St. Louis Cardinals Return to Familiar Territory--the NLCS

If you are not a fan of the St. Louis Cardinals it had to be kind of hard not to want the Pittsburgh Pirates to win their division series with the Cardinals. Here you have a franchise that has defined what a cellar dweller is for the last two decades--and now they are awesome.  While they gave the post season veterans a run for their money it was just not in the cards for...

Gerrit Cole and Adam Wainwright and Curveballs

The other day, in one of my chats, someone asked if I could design a dream starting pitcher, throwing any four pitches of my choosing. Of the pitches, I wanted a curveball, and of all the curveballs, I settled on Adam Wainwright‘s. There are a host of excellent curveballs out there — Clayton Kershaw‘s is famous, and Jose Fernandez‘s will be — but Wainwright’s is spectacular...

On Gerrit Cole

Just a little over two years ago, I remember bemoaning the lack of an obvious franchise player at the top of the 2011 draft. Neal Huntington's goal with the Pirates was obviously to stockpile talent, but they picked fourth in a 2009 draft that featured Stephen Strasburg at the top and they picked second in a 2010 draft that had Bryce Harper. The year that they got the top pick...

Grilli has confidence in Cole

The Pirates and Cardinals will play a decisive game 5 in their NLDS on Wednesday night. The Pirates will start rookie RHP Gerrit Cole. Pirates closer Jason Grilli told's George Von Benko that he has confidence in the rookie phenom.

Recap: Cardinals beat Pirates 6-1 in Game 5 to win NLDS

ST. LOUIS -- Adam Wainwright went all the way and the St. Louis Cardinals got two-run homers from David Freese and Matt Adams to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-1 on Wednesday night, advancing to the NL championship series. Wainwright scattered eight hits in his second dominant win of the division series, coming through for the Cardinals in a winner-take-all Game 5. St. Louis gets...

Cardinals beat Pirates in Game 5

Nobody's better than the St. Louis Cardinals when they can't afford to lose. Adam Wainwright went all the way on the mound and St. Louis got two-run homers from David Freese and Matt Adams to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 6-1 Wednesday night, advancing to the National League Championship Series for the third straight season. Wainwright scattered eight hits in his second dominant...

NLDS Game 5: All Cards Are On the Table

Experience against youth is featured in the game five pitching match up between the St Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates.  On the mound for the Cardinals will be their ace Adam Wainwright.  He will be opposed by Pirates rookie Gerrit Cole. The Cardinals forced a decisive game five on the heels of an outstanding performance by rookie pitcher Michael Wacha.  He no-hit the Pirates...

A Minor Review of 2013: Pirates

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009. The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013′ will look back on some of the major happenings...

Cards clinch NLCS birth with 6-1 win

Two October heroes in the past for the Cardinals helped carry them to more October baseball in the future tonight at Busch Stadium. Adam Wainwright the relief star of the 2006 World Series championship for the Cardinals held the Pittsburgh Pirates to eight singles over nine innings. David Freese the hitting star of the 2011 World Series championship for the Cardinals hit a two-run...

NLDS Game 5 Preview: Pirates vs. Cardinals

Pirates at Cardinals–Series Tied 2-2 8:00 PM–Busch Stadium, St Louis Gameday TV: TBS For the second time in just over a week, the season comes down to one game. (That Wild Card game feels like it was a while ago now, right?) The Bucs spoiled us in that one by taking an early lead and not looking back — after the second inning, their win probablity never dipped below...

Wainwright Did It For Love

Dear Adam,  You are the best thing that's ever happened to me. I don't know why I worried and fretted and paced around my living room tonight like a caged lion with rabies. I should have known better! You told me you had it in the bag and I should have believed you.  And I totally would have, had it not been for a recent rash of NOT GREAT run support. But then...
All Sports News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

Today's Best Stuff
For Bloggers

Join the Yardbarker Network for more promotion, traffic, and money.

Company Info
What is Yardbarker?

Yardbarker is the largest network of sports blogs and pro athlete blogs on the web. This site is the hub of the Yardbarker Network, where our editors and algorithms curate the best sports content from our network and beyond.