Originally written on StraitPinkie.com  |  Last updated 1/29/12

No one knows if Murray State, currently 21-0, will finish the regular season undefeated. But, as the nation’s only unblemished team left, people are trying to predict the possibility of that happening.

Percentages range from 30-45 percent, depending on who you ask and depending on Murray State’s opponent in BracketBusters.

Regardless, the real question isn’t whether the Racers can finish the regular season 29-0 before the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. Rather, how high Murray State can be seeded in the NCAA Tournament is the real stumper.

The general consensus is an undefeated Murray State (which would finish 31-0 by winning the OVC tournament) has a ceiling of a No. 3 seed. Many bracketologists believe, as other power conference tournaments unfold, that a perfect Murray State would be a No. 4 seed. That, while some might find insulting, would still give the Racers a preferential site for its first two games (likely in Nashville where it would have a huge following).

Nevertheless, there is no fun in that type of predicting. What happens if Murray State loses a game or two?

A 29-2 Murray State team would be much more intriguing in terms of its seeding.

The best comparison would likely be the 2005-06 George Washington Colonials. That year, GW finished the regular season 26-1 before a first-round loss in the Atlantic 10 Tournament. Due to a weak nonconference schedule (323rd in the country), a 26-2 George Washington team was “rewarded” with a No. 8 seed and a second round contest against Duke, the tournament’s No. 1 overall seed.

Using Ken Pomeroy’s rankings, the teams are eerily similar. (See table below with Murray State’s stats updated through Friday, Jan. 27)

The only difference – and it’s a big difference – is that Murray State played a pretty tough nonconference schedule. That number likely will only look better with its BracketBuster game. However, all other numbers – the Pythagorian rating, offensive and defensive efficiencies and overall strength of schedules – are pretty similar.

The A-10 was a 2-bid league that season, mostly because George Washington’s loss allowed Xavier to steal the conference’s auto-bid and a No. 14 seed.

The OVC is a 1-bid league, unless a similar situation happens with Murray State in the conference tournament.

All this leads me to believe if Murray State stumbles once, a No. 6 seed seems more likely. However, two losses, especially if one would be deemed a “bad loss,” would almost assuredly drop the Racers into the dreaded 8/9 game.

What really makes this Murray State discussion unique is while George Washington was 26-1 entering the A-10 Tournament, the Colonials had lost their ninth game of the year. Thus, despite following the 8-1 start with 16-straight victories, George Washington never garnered the national attention Murray State has received as the nation’s last unbeaten squad.

As the table above shows, every time the last undefeated team made the NCAA Tournament it was seeded No. 4 or better. Granted, all those teams except St. Joe’s and Memphis were BCS-conference teams and, in those respective years, both St. Joe’s (13th) and Memphis (3rd) started the year in the national spotlight.

It would be shocking of Murray State didn’t receive an at-large bid if it somehow loses in the OVC Tournament. Barring some crazy collapse, the Racers will be dancing. However, the question remains: With what seed will the Racers be dancing?

  • Digg this!
  • Share this on Reddit
  • Share this on Facebook
  • Tweet This!
  • Buzz up!
  • Stumble upon something good? Share it on StumbleUpon
  • Share this on Mixx
  • Share this on Linkedin
GET THE YARDBARKER APP:
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45
MORE FROM YARDBARKER

Kobe Bryant: ‘I Was An Idiot When I Was A Kid’

Anthony Davis wants gold medal more than NBA MVP

Report: Ronda Rousey’s last fight topped 900,000 PPV buys

Rose issues statement denying sexual assault allegations

Giants’ rookie Tomlinson blasts a grand slam for first MLB home run

Coughlin treats training camp-weary Giants to ‘spa day’

LIKE WHAT YOU SEE?
GET THE DAILY NEWSLETTER:

Wilson: Comments about miracle water ‘perceived wrong’

Ryan Mallett missed Texans practice after oversleeping

Report: Barry Bonds loses collusion case

Martavis Bryant reportedly failed multiple marijuana tests

Mortensen: Krafts called me to apologize amid Deflategate drama

Packers smart to sit Aaron Rodgers for rest of preseason

Is it safe to say Justin Verlander is officially back?

Melvin Upton Jr. channels Willie Mays with catch

John Elway talks up Colin Kaepernick: ‘I’ve always liked Colin’

Enrique Hernandez falls down trying to hit Aroldis Chapman pitch

How the Chicago Cubs are swinging

WATCH: McElwain surprises six players with scholarships

LeBron James gives shout out to writer recovering from surgery

Frank Gore calls Andrew Luck ‘football God’

Eddie Royal joins the list of injured Bears receivers

Terry Stotts, Damian Lillard and the shapeless Trail Blazers

Jim Harbaugh thought phone call from Michael Jordan was a prank

The Buffalo Sabres have a 96% season ticket renewal rate

Karl-Anthony Towns is perfect for today's NBA

All Sports News
Delivered to your inbox
You'll also receive Yardbarker's daily Top 10, featuring the best sports stories from around the web. Customize your newsletter to get articles on your favorite sports and teams. And the best part? It's free!

By clicking "Sign Me Up", you have read and agreed to the Fox Sports Digital Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You can opt out at any time. For more information, please see our Privacy Policy.
the YARDBARKER app
Get it now!
Ios_download En_app_rgb_wo_45

How the Chicago Cubs are swinging

Report: Barry Bonds loses collusion case

Packers smart to sit Rodgers for rest of preseason

Towns is perfect for today's NBA

The Opening Drive: Utah alum Jordan Gross is fed up with the HarBros

Five greatest NBAers without a ring

Exactly how bad is the NL East?

Five potential college football Week 1 shockers

Top 10 storylines for Week 3 of the NFL preseason

Wilson’s ‘Recovery Water’ plug sends the wrong message

Today's Best Stuff
For Publishers
Company Info
Help
Follow Yardbarker