Originally posted on Around Citi  |  Last updated 6/12/13
If one were to try to account for how lucky, or unlucky-, a player has been during the course of a season, a common statistic to look to is said player’s Batting Average on Balls in Play. The statistic measures how often a player got a hit when putting a ball in play, separating all other in-game factors from the equation. While the statistic can help to tell the story of luck, it’s not entirely accurate. If a player makes weak contact by rolling grounders out to a pitcher time-and-time again, their BABIP will naturally be lower than league average. However, if a player is keen to hitting line drives and is suffering from a low BABIP, he may be the victim of bad luck (or strategic defensive positioning). Therefore, it’s hard to exactly determine how lucky or unlucky a player has been, but rather one can suggest luck based on a number of factors. Ike Davis struggled to the point of a demotion this year, but was he the victim of bad luck? The numbers tell an interesting story. In 2012...
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